Ensemble monthly forecast is the product obtained from 51 ensembles of ECMWF monthly forecast for SEE region. Statistical downscaling is done for Serbia. Available products are maximum and minimum temperature, and precipitation, updated once a week.

Products for SEE:

  • weekly values: maps of ensemble mean values and probability forecast with respect to hindcast 1994-2010 (probability for variable to be with anomaly above 0, below lower tercile, between lower and upper tercile and above upper tercile)
  • monthly values: the same but using both, terciles and percentiles.

Products for Serbia:

  • Data are interpolated into the meteorological stations for verification purposes and creating forecast modified with observed data (experimental).

Monthly forecast is available here.