***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.12.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.01.2018.-28.01.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    39    61   100   -0.9   -1.1   -1.4    2.0   65.5   64.1   -4.6   -2.8   -1.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    38    62   100   -1.4   -1.8   -1.5    1.9   65.0   64.0   -5.0   -3.3   -1.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    39    61   100    0.5    0.1   -1.7    1.8   64.6   63.7   -2.9   -1.2    0.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100   -4.3   -4.8   -4.5    2.1   67.0   65.4   -8.8   -6.8   -4.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    34    66   100   -1.1   -1.6   -4.2    1.9   65.2   64.1   -4.9   -3.2   -1.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    35    65   100   -2.1   -2.6   -6.1    1.8   65.0   63.4   -6.0   -4.2   -2.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    37    63   100   -1.1   -1.6   -1.5    1.9   64.7   63.8   -4.8   -3.1   -1.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    37    63   100   -6.1   -6.8   -6.0    1.5   61.7   60.7   -9.8   -8.0   -6.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    38    62   100   -0.6   -1.1   -3.8    1.7   63.6   62.9   -4.3   -2.5   -0.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    39    61   100   -1.2   -1.8   -5.3    1.5   62.1   61.2   -4.5   -2.9   -1.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    33    67   100   -1.0   -1.5   -4.9    2.0   65.2   64.0   -4.8   -3.1   -1.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    35    65   100   -1.5   -2.0   -5.4    1.9   64.3   63.2   -5.3   -3.5   -1.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    37    63   100   -1.2   -1.8   -5.7    1.6   62.8   61.6   -4.7   -3.0   -1.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100   -1.8   -1.3   -4.1    1.4   61.1   60.1   -3.7   -2.2   -0.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    29    71   100   -1.2   -1.5   -3.4    2.2   68.3   66.8   -5.3   -3.4   -1.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    35    65   100   -0.5   -0.9   -5.4    1.9   65.0   63.6   -4.1   -2.4   -0.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    40    60   100   -1.7   -2.0   -1.4    2.0   64.7   63.8   -4.8   -3.3   -1.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    39    61   100   -2.9   -3.6   -6.0    1.3   60.6   59.8   -6.1   -4.6   -3.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    39    61   100   -1.2   -1.6   -1.7    1.9   64.7   63.8   -4.8   -3.1   -1.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100   -6.8   -6.9   -7.1    0.8   57.1   56.3  -10.0   -7.8   -5.7   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    38    62   100   -0.7   -1.2   -2.5    1.8   64.3   63.4   -4.3   -2.6   -1.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    42    58   100   -1.7   -2.0   -1.7    1.8   64.4   63.6   -4.8   -3.3   -1.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    42    58   100   -1.4   -1.7   -2.1    1.7   63.9   63.0   -4.5   -2.9   -1.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    41    59   100   -1.5   -2.1   -4.4    1.4   61.6   61.1   -4.8   -3.2   -1.7   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    32    68   100   -1.1   -1.5   -2.8    2.1   66.4   64.7   -4.6   -3.0   -1.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    35    65   100   -1.2   -1.7   -5.7    1.8   64.6   63.1   -4.7   -3.1   -1.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    39    61   100   -0.8   -1.1   -1.9    2.1   65.6   64.0   -4.8   -2.9   -1.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    32    68   100   -2.1   -2.6   -4.5    2.0   66.4   64.9   -6.2   -4.3   -2.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   -4.7   -4.5   -6.4    1.2   59.3   58.3   -7.3   -5.4   -3.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    40    60   100   -1.0   -1.3   -1.5    1.9   65.2   64.1   -4.6   -2.9   -1.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------