***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.12.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.01.2014.-26.01.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100 9999.0    6.3    7.9   91.3   59.1   46.8 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    56    44     0   100    3.2    8.3    8.0   99.2   62.9   49.0    3.1    5.6    9.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    54    46     0   100    4.2    9.6    7.8   90.1   58.4   46.3    3.9    7.4   12.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100    4.3    9.9    8.4   93.6   60.1   46.7    4.2    7.4   11.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    53    47     0   100    3.3    6.8    8.3   85.9   56.0   44.6    3.1    5.6    9.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    3.1    7.4    8.4   92.2   60.1   46.3    2.9    5.3    8.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    58    42     0   100    2.7    7.7    8.1  102.1   64.0   50.6    2.7    5.0    8.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100    5.0   10.2    9.1   84.3   55.7   43.5    5.0    8.7   13.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100    6.7    5.7    8.3   81.9   53.9   43.5    2.5    4.9    8.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    3.9    7.2    9.1   83.7   54.9   43.7    3.7    6.3    9.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    2.4    5.8    8.0   85.7   56.7   44.6    2.2    4.6    8.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100    3.0    7.3    8.1   86.5   57.2   44.2    2.9    5.8    9.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    3.1    7.1    8.3   90.8   59.2   46.2    2.8    5.3    8.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    55    45     0   100    6.2   14.0    9.4   90.7   58.4   45.9    6.0   10.8   17.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    55    45     0   100    3.2   10.8    8.2   99.0   63.3   47.3    2.7    6.3   12.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    2.2    5.6    8.0   90.6   59.3   46.3    1.9    4.0    7.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    60    40     0   100    2.3    8.3    8.4  110.3   67.1   51.2    2.2    4.6    8.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16    53    47     0   100    4.2    7.8   10.1   86.5   56.3   45.2    4.1    6.6    9.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    58    42     0   100    3.4    8.7    7.8   94.2   60.8   47.3    3.4    6.2   10.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    54    46     0   100    4.3    8.4   12.4   86.8   57.1   45.5    4.2    7.0   10.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    75    25   100    8.3    7.4    8.1   86.2   55.9   45.1    3.1    6.0   10.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    64    36     0   100    3.2    9.5    8.2  101.8   64.2   49.4    3.6    6.3   10.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    57    43     0   100    3.5    8.1    7.7   88.5   58.4   45.5    3.5    6.3   10.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100    5.4   11.1    9.0   88.3   57.2   45.8    5.2    9.1   14.2   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100    3.6    8.9    9.1   95.0   59.9   47.7    3.2    6.4   10.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    52    48     0   100    2.3    5.7    8.4   92.1   59.3   46.0    1.9    4.1    7.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    3.0    7.9    8.8   94.9   60.0   47.9    2.7    5.6    9.6   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15    54    46     0   100    2.3    6.8    8.1   94.5   61.2   46.8    2.1    4.4    8.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100    6.5   12.7   11.1   87.4   56.6   45.3    6.3   10.7   16.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    2.7    7.8    7.9   95.6   61.2   48.2    2.4    5.2    9.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------