***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.12.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 30.12.2013.-26.01.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    21    79   100 9999.0    4.7    5.5    2.6   77.3   75.3 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    20    80   100    5.1    5.4    5.3    2.6   76.5   74.7    2.1    3.4    4.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    26    74   100    6.4    6.7    5.5    2.4   75.9   73.8    3.4    4.7    5.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    38    62   100    1.7    1.9    2.6    1.8   71.5   69.6   -1.0    0.2    1.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    33    67   100    5.9    6.3    3.7    2.1   74.2   71.9    3.3    4.5    5.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    33    67   100    5.4    5.9    3.1    2.0   75.6   72.8    3.1    4.2    5.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    18    82   100    4.8    5.1    5.2    2.7   77.4   75.7    1.8    3.0    4.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100    0.6    0.9    3.3    1.9   74.0   71.5   -1.5   -0.5    0.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    30    70   100    6.9    7.2    4.7    2.2   75.0   72.5    4.0    5.3    6.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100    5.7    6.0    4.0    2.0   73.8   71.4    3.3    4.4    5.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    30    70   100    6.1    6.5    3.8    2.1   75.7   73.2    3.5    4.6    5.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    29    71   100    6.4    6.9    3.7    2.1   76.2   73.6    3.9    5.0    6.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    25    75   100    6.0    6.4    3.6    2.2   77.1   74.5    3.4    4.5    5.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    31    69   100    6.8    7.1    5.0    2.1   73.2   71.0    3.9    5.2    6.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    39    61   100    5.5    5.7    2.9    1.6   70.2   68.5    2.4    3.9    5.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    30    70   100    6.6    7.1    3.5    2.2   76.0   73.5    3.9    5.1    6.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    22    78   100    4.6    4.8    4.9    2.5   75.9   74.1    1.7    2.9    4.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    32    68   100    3.8    4.0    3.8    1.9   73.2   70.7    2.0    2.8    3.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    24    76   100    5.5    5.8    5.4    2.6   76.0   74.1    2.5    3.8    5.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    35    65   100    2.9    3.1    2.1    1.6   72.8   70.2    0.6    1.7    2.7   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    29    71   100    6.4    6.8    5.1    2.3   75.5   73.2    3.6    4.8    6.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    28    72   100    5.2    5.5    5.0    2.4   74.5   72.6    2.4    3.6    4.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    29    71   100    5.1    5.5    5.5    2.4   75.3   73.2    2.4    3.6    4.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100    7.1    7.4    4.9    2.1   73.8   71.5    4.2    5.5    6.8   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    28    72   100    5.0    5.4    3.9    2.2   75.7   73.5    2.4    3.6    4.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    24    76   100    5.6    6.0    3.3    2.1   78.0   75.3    3.3    4.3    5.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    20    80   100    6.2    6.6    4.8    2.5   77.3   75.2    3.2    4.4    5.6   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100    6.4    6.6    2.9    1.8   70.9   69.0    3.2    4.7    6.2   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    31    69   100    3.7    3.9    3.2    1.8   73.6   71.1    1.3    2.4    3.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    21    79   100    5.0    5.4    5.4    2.7   76.8   75.0    2.0    3.3    4.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------