***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.12.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.01.2021.-17.01.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100    1.5    4.5   10.9  101.0   63.5   50.4    1.2    2.7    4.9   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100    4.0    5.3   10.3  108.5   66.7   53.1    1.5    2.9    5.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    53    47     0   100    1.7    5.1   10.8  100.9   63.3   50.4    1.5    3.1    5.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100    2.5    6.5   12.6  104.7   65.0   52.5    2.4    4.3    6.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    53    47     0   100    2.1    5.7   12.6  100.4   63.1   51.2    1.9    3.7    6.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    52    48     0   100    1.6    5.4   12.3  115.0   68.2   54.0    1.4    2.8    5.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    3.5    4.6   10.2  109.1   66.9   53.1    1.1    2.4    4.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    52    48     0   100    2.9    9.1   13.7  107.3   65.3   51.5    2.5    5.2    9.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    56    44     0   100    1.5    3.5   12.9   96.8   61.3   49.9    1.5    2.6    4.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    55    45     0   100    2.1    5.5   13.7  101.8   63.1   51.1    2.0    3.7    6.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    1.6    4.6   12.5  103.6   64.0   51.0    1.4    2.8    4.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100    1.5    4.3   12.4  110.2   66.3   51.5    1.3    2.5    4.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    1.8    5.2   13.1  112.6   67.2   52.7    1.7    3.1    5.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100    2.7    6.7   13.2   98.8   62.0   51.1    2.4    4.5    7.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    57    43     0   100    1.7    5.1   11.3  102.5   65.2   50.5    1.7    3.1    5.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    52    48     0   100    1.9    5.4   11.9  103.7   64.1   50.6    1.7    3.3    5.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100    3.9    4.9   10.3  111.0   67.8   54.4    1.6    2.9    4.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    2.4    5.8   14.1  101.8   63.1   51.4    2.1    3.9    6.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100    4.2    5.3   10.4  106.7   65.7   52.3    1.4    3.0    5.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    5.1    6.3   17.8  105.5   64.9   52.6    1.9    3.7    6.4   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    55    45     0   100    1.9    4.7   12.1   98.2   61.9   50.0    1.9    3.3    5.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100    4.5    5.9   10.7  109.8   67.2   54.5    1.6    3.3    5.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    54    46     0   100    1.3    4.3   10.7  103.2   63.8   51.4    1.0    2.4    4.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100    2.3    5.4   12.6   98.8   61.9   50.3    2.2    3.8    6.1   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    75    25   100    4.4    5.0   12.7  101.1   63.4   51.5    1.4    3.0    5.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    3.1    4.0   12.9  117.9   69.1   53.1    1.4    2.5    3.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    51    49     0   100    1.7    5.0   11.6  101.5   63.6   51.1    1.4    3.1    5.5   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15    56    44     0   100    1.6    4.7   11.5  104.2   65.0   51.5    1.5    2.9    4.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    3.6    9.0   15.1  103.1   63.6   51.6    3.3    6.0    9.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100    3.6    4.6   10.4  105.8   65.6   52.1    1.1    2.5    4.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------