***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.12.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 28.12.2015.-24.01.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100   18.2   25.7   33.6   87.8   49.0   45.3   18.4   26.3   35.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100   28.3   25.9   31.8   92.1   53.0   48.2   15.7   24.2   34.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   39.0   34.1   34.4   88.1   49.1   45.5   25.3   34.6   45.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    60    40     0   100   25.2   32.4   35.5   81.9   42.8   39.9   26.9   36.7   47.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100   25.7   32.0   37.7   85.2   44.7   42.0   26.4   34.7   43.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    55    45     0   100   19.7   25.2   35.4   85.5   44.1   41.7   20.4   27.8   36.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   28.7   26.1   31.3   92.2   52.9   48.0   16.4   24.7   34.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    75    25   100   53.0   42.4   40.2   85.9   44.5   42.3   34.4   46.3   59.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100   19.3   25.9   40.4   89.2   48.5   45.0   19.6   26.6   34.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100   22.9   30.8   42.9   90.1   48.2   45.1   23.2   31.7   41.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100   22.7   28.0   34.9   85.3   44.3   41.7   23.4   30.3   37.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100   22.2   26.8   33.5   82.7   41.9   39.8   22.5   31.4   41.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100   24.2   28.9   34.4   84.3   43.0   40.8   24.6   32.2   40.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   49.5   46.1   44.8   93.3   51.4   47.8   35.9   45.2   55.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    65    35     0   100   16.8   23.2   31.3   73.8   40.2   36.5   19.0   29.4   42.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100   20.7   25.1   32.2   81.7   41.2   39.2   21.7   28.9   37.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    80    20   100   27.3   24.6   29.7   91.4   52.7   48.0   15.0   23.2   33.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   34.4   29.8   48.2   92.3   49.6   46.5   22.0   30.0   39.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    80    20   100   32.8   30.1   32.9   91.8   52.5   47.9   20.7   28.9   38.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100   26.3   32.5   51.6   84.7   43.8   42.0   26.2   36.4   47.8   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   35.1   30.0   36.8   87.8   48.2   44.9   23.0   30.8   39.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    81    19   100   29.3   26.6   31.7   91.8   52.3   48.0   16.4   25.1   35.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   31.2   28.4   35.7   91.8   51.8   47.6   19.8   27.5   36.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100   41.9   38.8   43.3   92.1   50.4   46.9   32.0   38.8   45.9   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   37.4   31.2   39.2   86.9   47.7   44.6   23.6   32.6   42.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   29.5   20.6   32.5   79.7   40.1   38.5   17.5   25.2   33.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   32.7   28.4   37.8   89.9   50.3   46.7   19.9   28.1   37.9   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15    63    37     0   100   17.4   22.4   32.0   76.8   39.7   36.9   19.3   27.4   37.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   55.7   49.8   51.1   92.6   50.0   47.1   38.0   49.8   62.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    80    20   100   29.7   27.0   32.4   91.0   52.1   47.4   18.1   25.9   35.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------