***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.12.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.12.2018.-30.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    88    12   100    8.7   13.3   11.3  112.5   67.9   64.9    3.7    7.3   12.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    87    13   100    9.6    9.4    7.2   74.5   54.1   50.6    4.7    8.3   13.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    87    13   100   11.7   15.2   10.9  104.1   64.9   62.0    6.0   10.2   15.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    87    13   100   10.0   14.2   12.4  109.6   67.0   63.8    4.7    8.6   13.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    22    78   100   17.3   19.2   17.1  149.1   77.3   73.4    5.7    9.4   14.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    88    12   100    8.9   14.0   13.0  121.2   70.1   65.4    4.2    7.7   12.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    87    13   100    9.4    9.5    7.4   77.8   55.6   51.6    4.0    7.9   13.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100   19.7   21.7   16.0  136.3   73.9   69.1    7.1   11.7   17.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    28    72   100   12.1   12.6   14.5  134.0   73.8   70.3    3.2    6.1    9.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    22    78   100   14.1   15.8   17.2  148.9   77.5   73.2    4.0    7.1   11.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    28    72   100   16.9   18.7   15.8  141.9   75.8   71.5    4.8    8.7   13.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    42    58   100   13.8   14.8   13.6  125.9   71.4   66.6    4.4    7.9   12.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    25    75   100   15.7   17.6   17.6  145.8   76.7   71.6    4.1    7.7   12.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    87    13   100   13.2   17.3   13.5  106.5   65.3   61.8    6.6   11.4   17.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    87    13   100    9.2    7.7    6.4   63.3   51.3   47.0    3.2    7.3   13.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100   13.1   13.6   14.3  126.7   71.7   67.3    3.5    6.8   11.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    83    17   100    9.1    7.2    6.1   63.8   49.3   45.6    4.0    7.4   12.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    24    76   100   13.3   14.5   17.1  142.8   76.1   71.8    3.9    6.9   10.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    89    11   100    9.8   10.2    7.9   78.8   56.0   52.9    4.6    8.5   13.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    39    61   100   16.1   17.0   17.9  127.4   71.5   66.7    5.1    9.0   14.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    37    63   100   13.9   14.1   13.2  122.7   70.7   67.8    4.5    7.9   12.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    86    14   100    9.5    7.7    6.4   62.7   48.6   45.6    4.6    8.1   12.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    91     9   100    8.1    9.4    9.2   86.8   58.9   56.5    3.9    7.2   11.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    40    60   100   14.5   15.4   14.5  126.1   71.5   67.7    4.4    8.1   13.0   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    22    78   100   20.1   21.9   17.0  146.5   76.8   73.8    6.2   10.6   16.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    35    65   100   12.8   14.1   14.8  134.2   73.8   68.6    3.3    6.4   10.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    37    63   100   16.5   17.5   13.5  128.7   72.2   68.8    4.6    8.7   14.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    87    13   100    9.6   11.2    9.4   89.5   60.2   55.9    4.1    8.0   13.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    29    71   100   21.7   23.2   17.4  137.2   74.4   69.8    6.5   11.4   18.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    89    11   100    9.6   10.7    8.1   84.0   57.9   54.5    4.7    8.4   13.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------