***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.12.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.12.2018.-20.01.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    41    59   100   -1.2   -1.5   -2.0    0.9   63.1   61.6   -3.5   -2.4   -1.3   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    33    67   100   -1.3   -1.5   -1.6    1.3   68.0   65.2   -4.4   -3.0   -1.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100    0.4    0.2   -1.8    1.0   65.2   63.0   -2.1   -0.9    0.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100   -5.4   -4.8   -4.7    0.9   63.6   61.0   -7.1   -5.8   -4.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    39    61   100   -1.9   -2.2   -4.0    1.0   64.8   62.3   -4.4   -3.2   -2.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   -3.7   -3.3   -6.4    0.8   62.1   60.1   -5.3   -4.2   -3.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    32    68   100   -1.2   -1.5   -1.6    1.2   67.0   64.6   -4.3   -2.9   -1.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    39    61   100   -6.3   -6.6   -5.9    0.9   63.2   61.2   -8.1   -7.3   -6.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    27    73   100   -0.8   -0.7   -3.2    1.5   72.4   68.6   -3.7   -2.4   -1.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    33    67   100   -1.7   -1.9   -4.9    1.2   67.7   64.9   -4.3   -3.1   -2.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    34    66   100   -1.8   -2.0   -4.5    1.2   67.8   64.7   -4.7   -3.4   -2.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    39    61   100   -2.8   -3.2   -5.4    0.9   63.5   61.3   -5.4   -4.2   -3.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    36    64   100   -2.1   -2.6   -5.5    0.9   63.4   61.3   -5.0   -3.7   -2.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    26    74   100   -0.7   -0.5   -3.1    1.7   73.6   69.5   -3.4   -2.2   -1.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    32    68   100   -1.5   -1.3   -2.9    1.4   71.7   67.7   -4.4   -3.1   -1.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    40    60   100   -1.4   -1.7   -5.4    0.9   63.0   60.8   -3.7   -2.6   -1.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    28    72   100   -1.5   -1.6   -1.3    1.5   70.0   67.0   -4.5   -3.2   -2.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    33    67   100   -3.7   -4.0   -5.4    1.2   66.8   64.2   -6.5   -5.2   -4.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    33    67   100   -1.3   -1.4   -1.8    1.3   67.7   64.9   -4.1   -2.8   -1.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   -7.4   -7.2   -6.9    0.6   59.0   58.1   -9.4   -7.9   -6.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    31    69   100   -1.2   -1.2   -2.2    1.4   69.7   66.6   -3.9   -2.7   -1.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100   -1.6   -1.6   -1.4    1.5   70.3   67.2   -4.5   -3.2   -2.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    34    66   100   -1.6   -1.7   -2.1    1.2   67.4   64.6   -4.2   -3.0   -1.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    28    72   100   -1.5   -1.5   -3.5    1.5   71.8   68.1   -4.2   -3.0   -1.9   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   -2.3   -1.8   -3.0    0.9   62.9   61.2   -3.8   -2.7   -1.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    83    17   100   -3.3   -3.1   -6.0    0.5   57.3   56.5   -4.8   -3.6   -2.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   -1.9   -1.6   -2.5    0.8   60.8   59.6   -3.9   -2.5   -1.1   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    38    62   100   -2.7   -2.8   -4.3    1.1   66.9   63.8   -5.3   -4.1   -2.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    37    63   100   -3.8   -4.1   -6.2    1.0   64.8   62.6   -6.2   -5.0   -4.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    37    63   100   -1.1   -1.4   -1.8    1.1   64.9   62.8   -4.1   -2.7   -1.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------