***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.12.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.12.2018.-30.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    83    17   100   -2.0   -1.3   -1.0    0.9   61.6   60.7   -4.5   -2.6   -0.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    32    68   100   -0.5   -0.4   -0.3    1.7   70.7   69.1   -4.7   -2.8   -1.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    43    57   100    0.9    0.7   -0.5    1.3   65.4   64.3   -2.5   -0.8    0.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   -3.8   -3.6   -2.5    1.8   72.0   70.1   -7.5   -5.8   -4.3   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    38    62   100   -1.0   -0.8   -1.5    1.8   69.6   68.5   -4.7   -2.9   -1.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    38    62   100   -1.9   -2.1   -4.6    1.5   66.5   65.6   -5.8   -3.9   -2.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    39    61   100   -0.7   -0.7   -0.5    1.5   67.6   66.4   -4.7   -2.7   -0.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    41    59   100   -5.8   -5.9   -4.0    1.5   66.6   65.5   -9.0   -7.5   -6.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    16    84   100    0.6    1.3   -0.8    2.8   79.7   78.3   -3.9   -2.1   -0.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    28    72   100   -0.4   -0.1   -2.6    2.2   73.3   72.0   -4.6   -2.7   -1.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    23    77   100   -0.3    0.0   -1.7    2.4   75.0   73.4   -5.0   -3.0   -1.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    42    58   100   -1.6   -1.7   -3.2    1.5   66.7   65.8   -5.5   -3.6   -1.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    33    67   100   -0.7   -0.9   -3.0    1.8   68.6   67.6   -5.1   -3.1   -1.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    11    89   100    0.5    1.2   -0.6    3.2   81.2   79.8   -3.5   -2.0   -0.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    14    86   100   -0.7    0.5   -0.3    2.8   82.8   80.7   -5.2   -3.4   -1.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    35    65   100   -0.2   -0.3   -2.9    1.8   68.6   67.5   -3.9   -2.2   -0.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    25    75   100   -0.7   -0.2    0.2    2.2   75.6   73.9   -4.7   -3.0   -1.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    36    64   100   -2.9   -2.7   -3.0    2.0   71.2   70.1   -6.7   -4.9   -3.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    32    68   100   -0.4   -0.3   -0.3    1.7   70.9   69.3   -4.4   -2.6   -0.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    89    11   100   -7.0   -6.9   -5.7    0.4   54.2   54.0   -9.9   -7.5   -5.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    27    73   100    0.1    0.6    0.0    2.3   75.6   74.2   -4.3   -2.4   -0.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    19    81   100   -0.6    0.1    0.5    2.3   78.3   76.6   -4.9   -3.1   -1.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    34    66   100   -0.9   -0.8   -0.7    1.7   70.3   68.8   -4.6   -2.9   -1.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    18    82   100   -0.5    0.3   -0.9    2.8   79.5   77.9   -4.6   -2.9   -1.3   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    42    58   100   -1.0   -1.1   -1.1    1.3   65.8   64.8   -4.2   -2.6   -1.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    88    12   100   -3.0   -2.7   -4.3    0.6   56.6   56.5   -5.3   -3.4   -1.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    84    16   100   -1.5   -1.2   -1.5    0.7   58.0   57.4   -4.2   -2.1   -0.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    22    78   100   -1.7   -1.2   -1.7    2.4   76.9   75.0   -5.8   -4.1   -2.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    42    58   100   -3.3   -3.4   -4.6    1.6   66.4   65.4   -6.8   -5.1   -3.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    44    56   100   -0.6   -1.0   -0.8    1.1   63.5   62.4   -4.5   -2.5   -0.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------