***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.12.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 14.01.2013.-20.01.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    33    67   100 9999.0    9.4   10.9  115.6   69.1   57.8 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100    5.6    8.3   10.5  122.6   70.9   57.9    2.0    4.1    7.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    38    62   100   11.0    9.9   10.2  111.1   67.3   56.6    2.4    5.3    9.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    9.5   12.5   11.0  109.8   67.3   54.5    3.8    7.2   11.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100    6.9    9.4   11.0  111.1   67.9   56.8    2.4    5.0    8.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    2.0    6.2   10.9  110.1   67.4   55.8    1.8    3.5    5.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100    4.6    7.1   11.1  130.4   72.9   59.0    1.9    3.5    5.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    39    61   100   15.8   15.6   11.9  117.3   69.6   59.0    3.8    7.8   13.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100    5.2    7.0   11.4  113.2   68.2   58.0    1.9    3.9    6.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100    8.9    8.7   12.2  118.1   69.6   59.3    2.2    4.5    7.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100    5.0    7.0   10.6  114.7   68.8   57.4    1.7    3.6    6.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100    4.8    6.1   10.2  109.5   67.2   56.8    2.1    3.7    5.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100    4.7    6.0   10.7  105.8   66.0   56.1    1.7    3.4    6.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    37    63   100   12.9   12.9   12.1  121.7   70.5   59.7    3.5    6.7   11.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    75    25   100    6.4    8.0   10.3  108.8   67.1   51.5    2.3    4.6    7.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100    4.7    6.5   10.3  111.1   67.7   55.8    1.6    3.4    6.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    4.7    7.5   10.7  132.0   73.4   59.0    1.9    3.6    6.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    36    64   100    9.8    9.9   13.5  122.2   70.7   60.5    2.9    5.3    8.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100    6.7    9.5   10.1  115.9   68.9   56.8    2.0    4.5    8.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    39    61   100    9.3   10.1   16.2  127.2   72.3   60.9    2.6    4.9    8.3   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    35    65   100    9.6    8.6   10.8  111.5   67.6   57.5    2.3    4.7    8.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100    6.8   10.4   10.6  126.1   71.9   58.6    2.5    5.0    8.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100    6.6    9.1   10.0  111.5   67.5   56.3    2.1    4.8    8.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    37    63   100   10.4    9.9   11.7  116.6   69.0   58.9    2.6    5.2    9.0   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    32    68   100   10.0    9.2   12.3  116.3   69.4   58.4    2.1    4.5    8.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100    3.6    4.3   10.1  102.0   64.7   54.4    1.5    2.8    4.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    32    68   100    9.0    8.5   12.3  119.6   70.2   58.8    2.0    4.1    7.4   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100    5.7    7.5   10.4  109.9   67.3   52.9    2.1    4.2    7.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    34    66   100   15.3   15.5   14.6  125.6   71.7   61.1    4.0    7.8   13.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100    5.6    8.2   10.6  120.0   70.1   57.6    1.8    4.0    7.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------