***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.12.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 30.12.2013.-05.01.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    29    71   100 9999.0    0.2    0.2    2.4   74.6   72.7 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   -0.9   -0.6   -0.2    2.3   73.5   71.5   -4.5   -2.9   -1.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    28    72   100    1.1    1.6   -0.1    2.4   75.2   73.6   -2.6   -1.0    0.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    11    89   100   -3.0   -2.1   -2.4    3.0   81.1   79.6   -7.7   -5.8   -4.1   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    15    85   100   -0.8   -0.3   -1.9    2.9   78.9   77.4   -4.9   -3.3   -1.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     5    95   100   -1.2   -0.5   -2.9    3.2   82.0   80.5   -5.5   -3.9   -2.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    35    65   100   -0.9   -0.5   -0.1    2.3   73.2   71.2   -4.6   -2.9   -1.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    14    86   100   -5.1   -4.4   -2.3    3.2   79.7   78.0   -9.2   -7.5   -6.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    22    78   100   -0.1    0.6   -0.9    2.8   77.6   76.1   -4.2   -2.5   -0.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    18    82   100   -1.0   -0.4   -1.8    3.2   78.8   77.1   -4.6   -3.1   -1.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    12    88   100   -0.8   -0.3   -1.9    2.9   79.0   77.6   -4.9   -3.3   -1.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    11    89   100   -1.2   -0.8   -2.1    2.9   78.5   77.1   -5.7   -3.9   -2.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     7    93   100   -0.4   -0.1   -2.5    2.8   78.9   77.4   -5.0   -3.2   -1.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    18    82   100    0.0    0.4   -1.2    2.8   77.5   75.9   -4.0   -2.4   -0.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     8    92   100   -0.1    0.6   -1.9    3.1   81.6   80.2   -4.5   -2.9   -1.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     9    91   100    0.0    0.4   -2.4    2.9   79.5   78.1   -4.0   -2.4   -1.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    37    63   100   -1.4   -1.1   -0.2    2.2   71.7   69.7   -4.7   -3.1   -1.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    16    84   100   -2.7   -2.1   -2.3    3.4   78.8   77.1   -7.0   -5.3   -3.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    30    70   100   -0.8   -0.4   -0.3    2.3   73.7   71.8   -4.7   -3.0   -1.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    18    82   100   -4.4   -3.4   -3.3    3.3   79.5   77.0   -9.9   -7.7   -5.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    27    73   100   -0.5    0.2   -0.3    2.6   76.1   74.5   -4.7   -2.8   -1.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    39    61   100   -1.4   -1.1   -0.3    2.0   70.9   68.9   -4.8   -3.1   -1.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    27    73   100   -1.2   -0.8   -0.6    2.3   74.7   72.9   -4.8   -3.2   -1.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    15    85   100   -0.8   -0.4   -1.3    3.0   77.9   76.5   -4.8   -3.2   -1.7   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    13    87   100   -0.4    0.3   -1.2    3.0   80.3   78.8   -4.3   -2.8   -1.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    10    90   100   -1.0   -0.4   -2.2    2.9   80.3   78.6   -5.2   -3.5   -2.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    23    77   100    0.1    0.7   -0.4    2.7   76.8   75.1   -4.1   -2.3   -0.6   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0     9    91   100   -1.3   -0.6   -2.1    3.1   81.3   79.9   -5.5   -3.9   -2.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    15    85   100   -2.6   -1.9   -2.7    3.4   79.7   77.7   -7.0   -5.2   -3.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    31    69   100   -0.5   -0.1   -0.1    2.3   74.0   72.0   -4.5   -2.7   -1.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------