***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.12.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.01.2021.-10.01.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    86    14   100   -2.1   -1.1   -1.2    1.4   62.6   60.6   -4.7   -2.6   -0.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   -2.7   -1.8   -1.2    1.3   62.6   60.9   -5.4   -3.3   -1.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    83    17   100   -0.4    0.3   -1.3    1.2   61.9   60.1   -3.1   -1.0    0.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    81    19   100   -5.2   -4.4   -4.2    1.3   62.1   59.9   -8.2   -6.0   -3.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   -3.2   -2.7   -3.9    1.1   59.9   58.3   -5.7   -3.8   -2.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    80    20   100   -4.0   -3.4   -5.8    1.2   61.2   59.1   -6.7   -4.7   -2.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    83    17   100   -2.4   -1.5   -1.1    1.4   63.0   61.2   -5.1   -3.1   -1.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    82    18   100   -6.8   -6.6   -5.6    0.9   57.9   56.8   -9.1   -7.4   -5.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    82    18   100   -2.3   -1.8   -3.5    1.0   59.0   57.6   -5.2   -3.0   -0.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    82    18   100   -3.1   -2.9   -5.0    0.9   57.9   56.6   -5.6   -3.7   -1.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    83    17   100   -3.4   -2.8   -4.4    1.2   60.6   59.0   -6.1   -4.0   -2.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    83    17   100   -4.2   -3.6   -4.9    1.3   60.8   59.2   -6.9   -4.9   -2.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    83    17   100   -3.9   -3.0   -5.1    1.4   61.9   59.4   -6.7   -4.5   -2.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100   -2.0   -1.9   -3.7    0.7   56.8   55.5   -4.4   -2.6   -0.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    83    17   100   -3.0   -1.9   -2.9    1.5   64.8   62.4   -5.7   -3.6   -1.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    82    18   100   -2.6   -1.9   -4.9    1.3   61.4   59.4   -5.0   -3.2   -1.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100   -2.8   -2.1   -1.0    1.2   61.9   60.5   -5.5   -3.5   -1.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100   -5.2   -5.1   -5.7    0.8   56.6   55.3   -8.0   -5.9   -4.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100   -2.4   -1.6   -1.3    1.3   62.4   60.7   -5.1   -3.1   -1.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   -7.5   -7.8   -6.8    0.5   54.3   53.3  -11.0   -8.5   -6.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    81    19   100   -2.5   -1.9   -2.2    1.1   60.4   58.6   -5.3   -3.2   -1.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   -2.7   -2.1   -1.4    1.1   60.9   59.7   -5.3   -3.4   -1.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    82    18   100   -2.7   -2.0   -1.6    1.2   61.4   59.8   -5.3   -3.3   -1.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    81    19   100   -2.7   -2.5   -4.0    0.9   57.9   56.5   -5.1   -3.3   -1.6   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    82    18   100   -2.6   -1.8   -2.5    1.3   62.7   60.3   -5.1   -3.2   -1.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    41    59   100   -2.1   -2.6   -4.9    1.5   63.1   60.7   -6.1   -4.1   -2.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    83    17   100   -2.0   -0.9   -1.6    1.4   62.8   60.7   -5.2   -2.7   -0.4   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    82    18   100   -3.9   -3.2   -4.2    1.2   61.6   59.6   -6.7   -4.6   -2.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    81    19   100   -4.5   -4.4   -5.9    0.7   56.1   54.7   -7.3   -5.2   -3.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   -2.3   -1.3   -1.2    1.4   63.0   61.2   -5.1   -2.9   -0.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------