***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.12.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.12.2017.-31.12.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    82    18   100   -2.0   -1.8   -1.3    0.8   57.6   56.6   -4.7   -2.7   -0.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   -2.2   -1.5   -0.9    1.2   62.1   59.7   -4.8   -2.9   -1.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    84    16   100   -0.4   -0.1   -1.2    0.7   57.7   56.7   -2.7   -0.9    0.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    38    62   100   -3.9   -4.6   -3.5    1.0   61.7   60.8   -7.4   -5.7   -4.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   -2.4   -2.9   -3.5    0.2   52.4   53.5   -5.0   -3.1   -1.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    52    48     0   100   -6.3   -4.3   -6.1   -0.1   48.4   50.6   -6.0   -4.1   -2.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   -2.1   -1.5   -0.8    1.2   61.7   59.4   -4.8   -2.8   -0.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   -6.7   -7.7   -6.1   -0.5   45.3   47.6   -8.9   -7.3   -5.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   -1.5   -1.9   -3.5    0.3   53.2   53.8   -4.1   -2.2   -0.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   -2.1   -3.0   -5.2   -0.1   48.7   50.2   -4.7   -2.9   -1.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   -2.4   -3.2   -4.5   -0.1   49.4   51.0   -5.1   -3.1   -1.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   -2.9   -4.2   -5.5   -0.5   45.0   47.5   -5.6   -3.7   -1.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100   -5.5   -3.9   -5.7   -0.7   43.3   46.2   -5.2   -3.2   -1.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   -1.4   -1.7   -3.5    0.4   53.7   53.9   -3.7   -2.0   -0.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    26    74   100   -0.9   -1.2   -1.8    1.7   69.2   65.7   -5.2   -3.3   -1.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100   -4.3   -2.5   -5.1   -0.2   47.5   49.7   -4.0   -2.3   -0.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100   -2.4   -1.5   -0.4    1.5   64.2   61.0   -4.8   -3.0   -1.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    80    20   100   -4.4   -5.2   -5.6   -0.1   48.6   49.9   -6.8   -5.0   -3.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    83    17   100   -2.2   -1.5   -1.1    1.0   60.8   58.8   -4.7   -2.8   -0.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   -6.5   -8.4   -6.9   -0.6   44.0   46.0  -10.0   -7.6   -5.3   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    81    19   100   -2.0   -1.9   -2.0    0.6   56.4   56.1   -4.7   -2.6   -0.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100   -2.6   -1.8   -0.6    1.3   63.3   60.1   -5.1   -3.2   -1.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    84    16   100   -2.5   -2.1   -1.7    0.7   58.0   57.0   -4.8   -3.0   -1.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    81    19   100   -2.4   -2.6   -3.6    0.4   53.8   54.0   -4.8   -3.0   -1.3   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   -2.1   -2.2   -2.3    0.5   55.2   55.1   -4.3   -2.7   -1.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100   -5.7   -4.3   -5.9   -0.7   42.4   45.9   -5.3   -3.5   -1.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   -1.6   -1.6   -1.7    0.6   56.1   55.5   -4.5   -2.4   -0.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    32    68   100   -1.9   -2.6   -3.0    1.3   64.5   62.5   -5.8   -4.1   -2.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   -4.4   -5.7   -6.7   -0.5   44.9   46.8   -6.9   -5.1   -3.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   -2.0   -1.4   -1.0    1.0   60.1   58.4   -4.7   -2.6   -0.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------