***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.12.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.12.2019.-12.01.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     8    92   100    6.2    8.1    7.5    3.9   91.4   87.0    2.7    4.0    5.3   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    12    88   100    5.6    7.2    7.3    3.7   89.3   85.0    2.4    3.6    4.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    13    87   100    7.3    9.1    7.8    3.8   89.7   85.0    3.8    5.2    6.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    11    89   100    2.4    4.0    4.7    3.7   90.4   85.2   -0.6    0.6    1.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    12    88   100    6.8    8.8    6.0    3.8   90.9   85.8    3.4    4.7    6.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    17    83   100    6.1    8.0    5.2    3.6   90.7   84.9    3.0    4.3    5.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    10    90   100    5.4    7.2    7.3    3.8   90.4   86.3    2.0    3.3    4.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    19    81   100    0.5    1.6    5.4    3.3   88.0   83.1   -1.7   -0.8    0.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    18    82   100    7.6    9.5    6.6    3.5   88.9   83.5    4.1    5.5    6.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    19    81   100    6.6    8.4    6.1    3.5   88.8   83.8    3.3    4.7    5.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    13    87   100    7.1    9.1    6.3    3.7   90.5   85.4    3.5    4.9    6.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    18    82   100    7.1    8.9    5.6    3.4   88.7   83.7    3.8    5.2    6.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    16    84   100    6.8    8.8    5.8    3.6   90.1   85.1    3.4    4.8    6.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    18    82   100    7.6    9.3    7.5    3.7   88.1   83.2    4.2    5.6    6.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    17    83   100    5.7    6.8    5.1    2.9   84.6   79.9    2.4    3.7    5.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    13    87   100    7.5    9.6    5.7    3.7   90.5   85.4    3.9    5.4    6.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    11    89   100    5.1    6.8    7.2    3.7   89.8   85.5    1.9    3.2    4.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    17    83   100    4.4    5.9    6.2    3.6   88.9   84.0    1.8    2.8    3.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    13    87   100    6.2    7.8    7.4    3.7   88.4   84.0    2.8    4.2    5.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    14    86   100    3.6    5.2    4.7    3.3   89.0   84.5    0.4    1.7    2.9   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    11    89   100    7.2    9.0    7.3    3.6   89.7   84.7    3.8    5.1    6.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    11    89   100    5.9    7.5    7.3    3.6   88.9   84.5    2.5    3.8    5.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    17    83   100    5.9    7.4    7.6    3.5   87.4   82.7    2.7    4.0    5.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    18    82   100    7.9    9.8    7.2    3.6   88.2   83.1    4.3    5.8    7.2   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     8    92   100    5.8    7.7    6.4    3.9   91.9   87.3    2.6    3.8    5.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    16    84   100    6.0    7.6    5.0    3.3   89.8   85.2    3.1    4.2    5.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     7    93   100    7.2    9.4    7.1    4.0   92.0   87.6    3.5    4.9    6.2   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    15    85   100    6.7    8.2    5.0    3.3   87.1   82.0    3.4    4.7    6.0   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    18    82   100    3.9    5.4    5.6    3.4   88.6   83.8    1.0    2.2    3.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    12    88   100    5.6    7.4    7.4    3.8   89.9   85.6    2.3    3.6    4.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------