***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.12.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 06.01.2014.-12.01.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    41    59   100 9999.0   -0.3   -1.3    1.5   66.8   63.9 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    41    59   100   -0.7   -1.0   -1.7    1.4   66.0   63.3   -5.2   -3.0   -1.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    39    61   100    1.5    1.2   -1.7    1.3   65.6   63.4   -2.8   -0.7    1.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    28    72   100   -2.9   -2.8   -4.0    2.0   71.7   69.3   -7.8   -5.6   -3.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    31    69   100   -1.1   -1.5   -3.8    1.6   67.2   65.4   -5.3   -3.4   -1.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    25    75   100   -1.9   -2.6   -5.2    1.6   66.6   65.2   -6.6   -4.6   -2.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    84    16   100   -2.1   -0.7   -1.6    1.4   65.8   63.0   -4.8   -2.7   -0.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    28    72   100   -4.8   -5.4   -4.8    1.5   64.6   63.3   -8.5   -6.9   -5.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    39    61   100   -0.3   -0.8   -3.0    1.4   64.1   62.7   -4.9   -2.6   -0.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    34    66   100   -1.1   -1.9   -4.2    1.4   63.6   62.4   -5.4   -3.4   -1.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    28    72   100   -1.1   -1.8   -4.0    1.5   65.9   64.6   -5.8   -3.7   -1.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    26    74   100   -2.0   -2.8   -4.4    1.5   65.3   63.9   -6.8   -4.7   -2.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    27    73   100   -1.5   -2.4   -4.7    1.5   64.9   63.5   -6.6   -4.4   -2.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    39    61   100   -0.1   -0.6   -3.2    1.3   64.1   62.9   -4.0   -2.1   -0.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    21    79   100   -0.8   -0.8   -3.3    2.2   72.9   70.7   -5.2   -3.3   -1.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    27    73   100   -0.5   -1.1   -4.5    1.6   66.5   65.1   -4.9   -2.9   -1.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    83    17   100   -2.6   -1.3   -1.6    1.4   65.2   62.7   -5.4   -3.2   -1.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    34    66   100   -3.1   -3.9   -4.8    1.4   62.7   61.6   -7.4   -5.4   -3.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    39    61   100   -0.5   -0.8   -1.8    1.4   66.0   63.4   -4.8   -2.7   -0.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    36    64   100   -5.4   -6.5   -6.0    1.3   61.8   60.6  -10.9   -8.3   -5.8   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    40    60   100   -0.6   -0.9   -2.2    1.4   65.2   63.1   -4.8   -2.7   -0.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100   -2.5   -1.4   -1.7    1.3   64.8   62.4   -5.2   -3.2   -1.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    37    63   100   -0.7   -1.1   -2.1    1.3   65.7   63.7   -4.9   -2.9   -1.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    37    63   100   -0.9   -1.4   -3.3    1.4   64.1   62.9   -4.6   -2.8   -1.2   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    34    66   100   -0.5   -0.4   -3.1    1.8   69.9   67.4   -4.8   -2.8   -0.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    33    67   100   -1.5   -2.3   -4.5    1.3   63.2   62.1   -6.0   -3.9   -2.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    40    60   100    0.3    0.3   -2.1    1.6   67.8   65.1   -4.8   -2.3    0.0   29   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    24    76   100   -1.6   -1.7   -3.8    2.0   71.5   69.4   -6.4   -4.3   -2.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    33    67   100   -2.2   -3.2   -5.3    1.3   62.3   61.1   -6.9   -4.8   -2.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    40    60   100   -0.2   -0.4   -1.6    1.4   66.0   63.3   -4.8   -2.5   -0.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------