***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.12.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 12.12.2016.-18.12.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    81    19     0   100    2.8    3.8    4.0   36.0   31.5   24.8    4.1    7.8   12.9   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    83    17     0   100    2.8    3.8    3.5   35.7   30.3   21.3    4.3    7.1   10.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    81    19     0   100    3.0    3.8    3.9   33.6   28.8   22.5    4.5    8.8   14.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    70    30     0   100    5.2    6.2    5.2   37.7   32.1   26.3    6.4   10.1   15.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    71    29     0   100    5.2    6.0    6.0   41.2   32.2   27.6    6.2    9.1   12.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    80    20     0   100    2.5    2.5    4.5   32.8   25.0   23.0    3.6    6.5   10.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    79    21     0   100    3.4    4.2    3.4   34.8   29.7   21.9    4.7    7.9   12.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    77    23     0   100   10.2   10.5    5.4   33.9   24.7   22.5   12.4   16.2   20.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    77    23     0   100    2.9    3.5    4.9   36.4   29.1   24.3    4.0    7.2   11.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    73    27     0   100    5.3    5.7    6.0   37.3   27.7   24.8    6.7   10.5   15.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    73    27     0   100    3.9    4.0    5.4   35.8   27.3   24.2    4.9    8.1   12.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    80    20     0   100    4.5    4.4    4.2   29.8   22.7   20.5    6.1    9.2   13.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    76    24     0   100    5.0    5.1    5.8   34.4   25.3   23.7    6.5    9.8   13.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    81    19     0   100    5.5    6.1    5.0   32.3   26.2   21.9    7.9   13.3   20.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    76    24     0   100    2.6    2.8    3.3   27.1   28.9   19.4    3.4    7.6   14.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    76    24     0   100    4.4    4.8    5.3   35.3   27.5   23.9    5.7    9.1   13.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    84    16     0   100    2.8    3.8    3.3   34.7   29.7   21.1    4.2    7.0   10.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16    71    29     0   100    5.7    5.5    5.7   34.8   25.7   23.3    6.9   10.9   15.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    87    13     0   100    2.6    4.0    3.6   35.2   29.7   21.0    4.6    8.1   13.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    74    26     0   100    6.2    6.4    6.6   36.1   26.8   23.8    7.9   12.6   18.8   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    76    24     0   100    3.3    3.8    4.6   35.6   29.2   23.5    4.5    8.2   13.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    83    17     0   100    3.7    4.8    3.5   34.7   30.1   21.1    5.2    7.8   10.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    87    13     0   100    2.5    3.6    3.9   35.1   29.4   21.3    4.3    7.7   12.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    75    25     0   100    5.6    5.6    4.8   32.7   25.7   22.4    7.4   12.1   18.2   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    68    32     0   100    3.2    4.1    5.7   43.4   35.5   30.4    3.7    6.8   10.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    83    17     0   100    3.3    3.4    4.0   29.3   23.0   21.0    5.0    8.4   12.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    74    26     0   100    2.7    3.7    4.6   40.8   34.6   28.5    3.5    6.9   12.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    74    26     0   100    3.1    3.5    4.3   32.9   29.7   22.7    4.0    7.3   11.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    72    28     0   100    9.3    9.0    5.8   34.0   25.3   23.3   11.6   18.0   26.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    83    17     0   100    2.3    3.3    3.6   35.1   30.1   21.8    3.8    7.2   12.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------