***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.12.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.12.2018.-30.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    40    60   100    5.9    6.4    5.4    2.1   71.5   66.1    1.9    3.9    5.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    33    67   100    5.8    6.4    5.7    2.5   74.5   69.1    1.6    3.5    5.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    34    66   100    7.4    7.9    5.9    2.3   73.0   67.3    3.0    5.1    7.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    0.9    2.3    2.7    1.8   69.7   64.2   -1.4    0.3    2.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    39    61   100    6.7    6.9    3.8    1.9   70.0   64.8    2.7    4.7    6.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    35    65   100    6.1    5.7    3.2    1.6   65.4   62.0    2.3    4.1    5.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    35    65   100    5.4    6.1    5.6    2.4   73.8   68.5    1.3    3.2    5.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    35    65   100    0.6    0.5    3.5    1.7   67.5   63.8   -2.5   -1.0    0.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    36    64   100    7.9    8.1    4.8    2.0   70.4   65.2    3.4    5.5    7.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100    7.1    7.0    4.2    1.9   68.6   64.1    2.8    4.8    6.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    38    62   100    7.1    7.2    3.8    1.8   68.8   64.2    2.9    4.9    6.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100    7.1    7.0    3.6    1.7   67.5   63.7    3.1    5.0    6.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    37    63   100    6.9    6.4    3.1    1.5   64.8   61.6    2.8    4.7    6.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    32    68   100    8.1    8.3    5.5    2.3   71.1   66.5    3.5    5.6    7.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    38    62   100    5.1    5.3    3.6    1.9   70.3   64.9    1.2    3.1    4.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    36    64   100    7.6    7.4    3.4    1.7   67.2   62.9    3.5    5.4    7.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    31    69   100    5.2    5.8    5.7    2.4   74.4   68.8    1.1    2.9    4.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    32    68   100    5.1    4.9    4.3    1.8   67.6   63.9    1.5    3.2    4.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    33    67   100    6.4    7.1    5.9    2.6   74.7   69.1    1.9    4.0    5.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    37    63   100    3.4    2.9    2.5    1.4   64.3   61.8   -0.6    1.3    3.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    37    63   100    7.2    7.5    5.3    2.0   70.9   65.4    3.0    5.0    6.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100    6.0    6.5    5.7    2.5   74.3   68.9    1.8    3.7    5.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    31    69   100    6.2    6.7    6.2    2.6   74.5   68.9    1.9    3.9    5.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100    8.2    8.3    5.3    2.1   70.5   65.8    3.3    5.6    7.7   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    39    61   100    5.3    5.5    3.9    1.8   69.3   64.0    2.1    3.6    5.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    37    63   100    6.1    5.7    2.8    1.4   64.9   61.8    2.4    4.2    5.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100    6.8    7.1    4.9    2.0   70.5   65.2    2.6    4.6    6.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100    6.3    6.6    3.2    2.0   70.2   64.6    2.3    4.3    6.0   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    32    68   100    3.7    3.2    3.7    1.7   66.3   63.3   -0.4    1.5    3.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    35    65   100    5.8    6.4    5.6    2.4   73.9   68.6    1.6    3.5    5.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------