***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 04.12.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 08.12.2014.-14.12.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    95     5   100    5.1    5.1    4.0    0.1   51.1   50.9    3.2    4.9    6.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    94     6   100    4.5    4.5    3.9    0.2   51.5   51.3    2.7    4.4    5.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    92     8   100    6.1    5.6    3.8   -0.2   48.0   48.0    3.9    5.8    7.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    92     8   100    0.9    0.3    1.2   -0.3   47.3   47.4   -1.4    0.6    2.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    88    12   100    6.0    5.1    1.9   -0.5   45.5   45.6    3.6    5.6    7.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    84    16   100    5.5    4.3    0.8   -0.7   43.4   43.7    3.1    4.9    6.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    94     6   100    4.4    4.4    3.9    0.2   52.5   52.3    2.5    4.2    5.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    0.5   -1.3    0.7   -1.2   38.3   38.9   -1.8   -0.1    1.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    87    13   100    6.5    5.5    2.8   -0.4   45.7   45.8    4.1    6.0    7.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100    5.8    3.9    1.4   -1.1   39.3   39.8    3.2    5.1    6.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    84    16   100    6.1    4.7    1.6   -0.8   42.5   42.8    3.6    5.6    7.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100    6.2    4.5    1.1   -0.9   40.7   41.1    3.5    5.5    7.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    81    19   100    6.0    4.2    1.2   -1.0   39.7   40.2    3.4    5.4    7.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100    6.7    4.5    2.6   -1.2   38.7   39.3    3.8    5.9    7.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    94     6   100    4.6    4.7    3.2    0.3   52.9   52.8    3.0    4.5    5.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    86    14   100    6.5    5.2    1.3   -0.8   42.4   42.8    4.0    6.0    7.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    93     7   100    4.2    4.2    3.7    0.2   52.0   51.8    2.4    4.0    5.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    1.5    2.1    0.9   -1.5   35.3   36.2    1.8    3.4    5.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    94     6   100    5.2    5.0    3.9    0.0   50.3   50.1    3.2    5.0    6.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    0.2    0.8   -0.4   -1.6   33.8   35.0    0.7    2.6    4.4   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    91     9   100    6.1    5.5    3.4   -0.3   47.5   47.5    3.9    5.8    7.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    94     6   100    4.7    4.6    3.8    0.0   50.4   50.3    2.9    4.6    6.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    92     8   100    5.1    4.6    3.7   -0.2   47.6   47.6    3.1    4.9    6.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100    6.9    4.8    2.4   -1.1   39.2   39.7    4.1    6.1    8.1   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    93     7   100    5.0    4.8    2.8    0.0   49.7   49.6    3.1    4.8    6.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100    5.4    4.1    1.1   -0.8   41.3   41.8    3.3    4.8    6.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    95     5   100    5.7    5.6    3.5    0.1   50.9   50.7    3.6    5.5    7.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    91     9   100    5.0    4.4    1.8   -0.3   47.1   47.1    3.0    4.7    6.3   28   Zajecar                       
36700G16    55    45     0   100    0.0    0.5    0.3   -1.6   34.1   35.2    0.4    2.2    3.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    95     5   100    4.7    4.6    4.0    0.1   51.3   51.1    2.8    4.5    6.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------