***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.11.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.12.2019.-22.12.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    34    66   100    0.0    0.2    1.0    2.0   70.5   66.8   -3.6   -1.9   -0.3   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    40    60   100   -0.1   -0.1    0.6    1.7   68.0   65.0   -3.6   -1.9   -0.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    39    61   100    1.7    1.8    0.8    1.8   69.0   66.1   -1.6   -0.1    1.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   -3.1   -3.1   -1.7    1.9   70.0   66.8   -7.0   -5.2   -3.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    34    66   100   -0.5   -0.4   -1.1    2.1   70.8   67.4   -3.9   -2.3   -0.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    27    73   100   -1.0   -0.7   -2.6    2.5   74.2   70.5   -4.3   -2.8   -1.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    40    60   100   -0.3   -0.3    0.8    1.8   68.3   65.2   -3.7   -2.0   -0.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    27    73   100   -5.0   -4.8   -2.5    2.3   72.5   68.7   -8.8   -7.1   -5.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    35    65   100    0.3    0.4   -0.7    2.0   70.4   67.1   -3.2   -1.6    0.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    31    69   100   -0.4   -0.3   -2.0    2.2   71.3   67.8   -3.7   -2.2   -0.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    28    72   100   -0.1    0.0   -1.5    2.2   71.9   68.5   -3.6   -2.1   -0.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    26    74   100   -0.7   -0.5   -1.9    2.4   72.9   69.3   -4.4   -2.8   -1.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    26    74   100   -0.4   -0.2   -2.3    2.4   73.0   69.0   -3.6   -2.2   -0.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    39    61   100    0.3    0.4   -1.1    1.9   68.3   65.4   -3.0   -1.4    0.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    36    64   100   -0.8   -0.7   -0.6    1.8   70.1   67.3   -4.2   -2.6   -1.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    27    73   100    0.4    0.4   -2.1    2.3   72.1   68.5   -2.8   -1.4   -0.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    36    64   100   -0.4   -0.6    0.7    1.6   67.3   64.2   -3.7   -2.2   -0.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    35    65   100   -2.3   -2.2   -2.7    2.1   70.1   66.5   -6.1   -4.3   -2.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    40    60   100   -0.2   -0.1    0.5    1.7   68.0   65.2   -3.7   -2.0   -0.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    37    63   100   -4.1   -3.7   -3.7    2.2   71.4   66.7   -8.7   -6.5   -4.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    35    65   100    0.2    0.3    0.3    2.0   70.1   66.7   -3.6   -1.9   -0.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    41    59   100   -0.4   -0.3    0.5    1.7   68.0   64.9   -3.8   -2.1   -0.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    38    62   100   -0.5   -0.5    0.4    1.7   68.1   65.4   -3.8   -2.2   -0.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    37    63   100   -0.8   -0.9   -1.4    1.9   68.2   65.4   -4.0   -2.5   -1.1   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    35    65   100   -0.3   -0.2   -0.2    2.0   70.6   66.9   -3.5   -2.0   -0.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    25    75   100   -0.5   -0.4   -2.2    2.5   73.5   69.9   -3.8   -2.4   -1.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    34    66   100    0.8    0.9    0.7    2.1   70.5   66.7   -3.3   -1.4    0.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    33    67   100   -1.4   -1.3   -1.5    2.0   70.7   67.7   -5.0   -3.4   -1.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    38    62   100   -2.4   -2.1   -2.9    2.2   70.8   66.6   -6.2   -4.4   -2.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    39    61   100    0.1    0.1    0.7    1.8   68.5   65.6   -3.2   -1.6   -0.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------