***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.11.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.12.2013.-08.12.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    60    40     0   100 9999.0   -2.5   -0.5   -2.0   23.5   28.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    63    37     0   100   -2.3   -2.9   -1.4   -2.4   20.6   25.8   -1.8   -0.4    0.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    76    24     0   100   -0.9   -1.6   -1.6   -2.7   16.5   22.7    0.0    1.3    2.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    75    25     0   100   -6.4   -7.6   -4.0   -2.8   14.0   21.4   -5.2   -3.6   -2.1   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    74    26     0   100   -3.5   -4.5   -3.4   -2.9   15.7   22.3   -2.5   -1.0    0.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    53    47     0   100   -3.2   -3.4   -3.8   -1.8   28.2   33.2   -2.9   -1.3    0.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    65    35     0   100   -2.3   -2.7   -1.2   -2.2   21.8   25.9   -1.7   -0.4    0.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    76    24     0   100   -7.0   -8.2   -4.9   -3.3   13.2   20.0   -6.1   -4.7   -3.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    73    27     0   100   -2.3   -3.2   -2.9   -2.8   16.0   22.9   -1.5   -0.1    1.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    79    21     0   100   -3.2   -4.3   -4.4   -3.3   13.2   19.6   -2.1   -0.7    0.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    73    27     0   100   -3.3   -4.3   -3.8   -3.0   15.7   22.1   -2.3   -0.8    0.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    71    29     0   100   -3.8   -4.9   -4.2   -3.1   15.6   22.2   -2.8   -1.2    0.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    55    45     0   100   -3.0   -3.4   -3.3   -2.0   26.1   32.0   -2.6   -0.8    0.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    91     9     0   100   -2.2   -3.3   -4.0   -3.7    9.6   14.9   -0.9    0.3    1.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    78    22     0   100   -3.1   -4.0   -2.8   -2.8   13.7   22.3   -2.0   -0.7    0.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    68    32     0   100   -2.4   -3.1   -3.8   -2.6   19.4   25.5   -1.6    0.0    1.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01    58    42     0   100   -2.3   -2.4   -1.1   -1.8   26.8   29.8   -1.9   -0.6    0.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    83    17     0   100   -4.8   -5.9   -5.1   -3.4   12.7   18.7   -3.5   -2.0   -0.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    69    31     0   100   -2.2   -2.8   -1.7   -2.5   18.7   24.7   -1.5   -0.2    1.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    70    30     0   100   -8.1   -9.4   -5.8   -3.0   16.3   22.7   -7.0   -5.0   -3.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    66    34     0   100   -2.5   -3.1   -1.6   -2.3   20.2   25.8   -1.8   -0.4    0.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    54    46     0   100   -2.1   -2.2   -1.0   -1.7   27.7   31.2   -1.8   -0.6    0.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    83    17     0   100   -2.5   -3.1   -2.2   -2.8   14.9   21.2   -1.4   -0.2    0.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    89    11     0   100   -2.7   -3.7   -4.0   -3.5   10.5   16.5   -1.5   -0.3    0.8   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    59    41     0   100   -2.1   -2.6   -1.7   -2.0   22.6   28.2   -1.7   -0.3    1.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    55    45     0   100   -2.4   -2.6   -2.7   -1.9   27.4   33.5   -2.1   -0.7    0.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100   -2.3   -2.7   -1.0   -1.9   24.9   29.2   -1.8   -0.2    1.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    79    21     0   100   -4.2   -5.2   -3.6   -2.9   13.3   20.6   -3.1   -1.7   -0.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    73    27     0   100   -5.2   -6.3   -5.4   -3.2   14.6   21.0   -4.3   -2.8   -1.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    66    34     0   100   -2.2   -2.9   -1.3   -2.5   19.1   24.6   -1.5   -0.1    1.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------