***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 22.11.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.12.2018.-16.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    58    42     0   100   -3.2   -2.8   -2.2   -1.7   32.2   39.2   -2.7   -1.1    0.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    62    38     0   100   -3.8   -3.2   -2.2   -1.5   32.3   39.1   -3.1   -1.5    0.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100   -1.7   -1.4   -2.2   -1.6   31.9   39.1   -1.3    0.2    1.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100   -7.4   -7.1   -5.3   -1.8   31.8   38.5   -7.0   -5.3   -3.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    55    45     0   100   -3.7   -3.3   -4.7   -1.7   33.2   39.8   -3.3   -1.7   -0.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100   -1.7   -3.8   -6.1   -1.6   34.6   40.8   -3.9   -2.4   -0.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    59    41     0   100   -3.8   -3.3   -2.0   -1.5   32.7   39.5   -3.3   -1.6    0.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   -5.8   -7.7   -5.9   -1.6   34.8   41.1   -7.9   -6.4   -5.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100   -2.9   -2.5   -4.1   -1.6   33.9   40.5   -2.6   -1.0    0.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100   -3.3   -2.9   -5.3   -1.6   34.8   40.9   -3.1   -1.6   -0.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100   -3.7   -3.2   -5.2   -1.7   34.0   40.1   -3.3   -1.6   -0.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100   -4.1   -3.7   -5.6   -1.6   34.8   41.0   -3.9   -2.4   -1.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100   -4.0   -3.4   -5.6   -1.5   36.0   41.4   -3.7   -2.0   -0.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    62    38     0   100   -3.0   -2.3   -4.1   -1.5   34.1   40.2   -2.4   -1.0    0.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    57    43     0   100   -3.1   -2.8   -4.3   -1.8   31.0   37.5   -2.7   -1.4   -0.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    58    42     0   100   -3.0   -2.4   -5.6   -1.7   34.2   40.1   -2.6   -1.1    0.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    67    33     0   100   -4.1   -3.3   -2.0   -1.5   33.1   39.9   -3.3   -1.7   -0.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    75    25   100   -2.5   -4.5   -5.9   -1.5   35.8   41.3   -4.7   -3.2   -1.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    63    37     0   100   -3.5   -2.9   -2.2   -1.5   32.1   38.8   -2.8   -1.3    0.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   -5.0   -7.1   -6.6   -1.5   36.2   42.0   -7.5   -5.7   -4.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    55    45     0   100   -3.2   -2.9   -3.0   -1.7   32.4   39.6   -2.9   -1.3    0.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    73    27     0   100   -4.1   -3.2   -2.3   -1.5   31.9   38.7   -3.1   -1.6   -0.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    63    37     0   100   -3.8   -3.1   -2.4   -1.5   32.3   39.0   -3.1   -1.5    0.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    58    42     0   100   -3.5   -3.0   -4.4   -1.5   34.3   40.6   -3.1   -1.6   -0.3   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100   -3.4   -3.1   -3.6   -1.7   32.1   39.0   -3.0   -1.4    0.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100   -1.2   -3.0   -5.5   -1.4   36.7   43.1   -3.3   -1.8   -0.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    56    44     0   100   -3.5   -3.0   -2.6   -1.7   32.9   39.7   -3.0   -1.2    0.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    56    44     0   100   -4.5   -4.2   -5.2   -1.8   32.2   38.8   -4.1   -2.5   -1.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100   -3.8   -5.7   -6.1   -1.5   35.9   41.4   -5.9   -4.4   -3.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    60    40     0   100   -3.5   -3.0   -2.2   -1.6   32.2   39.1   -2.9   -1.3    0.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------