***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.11.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.11.2019.-01.12.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     4    96   100    4.1    6.0    6.5    3.8   89.8   88.0   -0.2    1.4    2.9   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     3    97   100    3.8    5.3    5.9    3.5   88.0   86.0   -0.3    1.3    2.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     3    97   100    5.5    7.2    6.4    3.6   89.2   87.3    1.4    2.9    4.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0     2    98   100    0.3    3.3    3.8    4.1   94.0   92.2   -4.2   -2.6   -1.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     2    98   100    3.7    5.9    5.2    3.8   91.2   89.7   -0.9    0.8    2.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     0   100   100    2.9    6.2    2.8    4.0   95.3   93.8   -1.7    0.0    1.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     4    96   100    3.5    4.6    5.7    3.3   86.1   84.1   -0.3    1.1    2.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     3    97   100   -1.6    0.1    2.8    3.5   88.8   87.0   -5.8   -4.2   -2.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     2    98   100    4.1    6.0    4.8    3.5   91.0   89.4    0.1    1.5    2.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     3    97   100    3.6    5.5    3.4    3.5   89.8   88.0   -0.6    1.0    2.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     2    98   100    3.5    5.9    4.4    3.6   91.4   89.8   -1.2    0.5    2.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     3    97   100    2.5    4.3    3.7    3.4   89.3   87.3   -2.1   -0.4    1.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     4    96   100    2.9    5.3    3.6    3.6   91.9   89.6   -1.5    0.1    1.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     3    97   100    3.9    5.1    4.5    3.5   87.9   85.8    0.3    1.6    2.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     0   100   100    3.8    7.3    5.5    4.1   95.7   94.1   -0.6    1.0    2.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     2    98   100    4.2    6.8    4.0    3.7   92.8   91.0   -0.3    1.4    2.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     3    97   100    3.2    4.4    5.5    3.5   87.1   84.9   -0.6    0.8    2.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0     3    97   100    1.5    3.2    3.1    3.6   88.8   87.0   -2.6   -1.1    0.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     3    97   100    3.7    5.1    5.9    3.5   88.5   86.5   -0.2    1.3    2.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     5    95   100   -0.3    1.4    2.2    3.6   86.5   84.8   -5.8   -3.8   -1.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0     3    97   100    4.0    5.9    5.9    3.6   90.2   88.3   -0.2    1.3    2.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     3    97   100    3.2    4.5    5.8    3.4   87.5   85.4   -0.6    0.8    2.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     4    96   100    3.5    4.9    5.6    3.4   88.2   86.3   -0.2    1.2    2.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     3    97   100    3.2    4.6    4.5    3.5   88.8   86.8   -0.6    0.8    2.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     2    98   100    4.4    6.6    6.2    4.0   91.0   89.3   -0.1    1.5    3.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0     4    96   100    3.1    4.6    3.2    3.2   88.3   86.5   -1.0    0.5    2.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     5    95   100    4.8    6.8    6.3    3.8   88.7   86.8    0.0    1.8    3.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0     1    99   100    2.7    5.8    4.3    4.1   94.6   92.8   -1.8   -0.2    1.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     3    97   100    1.4    2.9    2.4    3.6   87.3   85.8   -3.2   -1.5    0.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     3    97   100    4.1    5.5    6.1    3.5   88.0   86.1    0.0    1.5    2.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------