***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.11.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.12.2020.-13.12.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100    7.1    6.8    6.9    1.6   66.7   63.1    3.3    5.1    6.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100    5.1    6.0    6.7    1.5   65.0   62.0    2.8    4.5    6.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100    6.6    7.6    7.2    1.5   64.7   61.5    3.9    5.9    7.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    39    61   100    2.9    2.5    4.4    1.5   65.0   61.9   -1.2    0.8    2.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    36    64   100    7.9    7.5    5.5    1.6   65.5   62.4    3.8    5.7    7.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    36    64   100    7.1    6.8    5.3    1.8   66.1   63.6    3.2    5.0    6.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100    5.0    6.0    6.8    1.6   66.3   63.2    2.7    4.4    5.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100    1.9    1.5    5.4    1.6   65.4   63.2   -1.7    0.0    1.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    39    61   100    8.4    8.1    6.4    1.6   65.6   62.4    4.2    6.2    8.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100    7.4    7.1    6.0    1.7   66.0   63.2    3.4    5.3    7.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    37    63   100    8.0    7.6    5.7    1.6   65.4   62.7    3.7    5.7    7.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    35    65   100    8.0    7.5    5.5    1.6   65.0   63.0    3.7    5.7    7.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    32    68   100    7.9    7.5    5.4    1.7   66.6   64.5    3.5    5.5    7.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    35    65   100    8.5    8.1    7.0    1.8   66.4   63.1    4.1    6.1    8.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    5.1    5.6    4.9    1.2   62.4   60.2    3.2    4.6    5.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100    8.4    8.1    5.4    1.7   66.3   63.6    4.0    6.1    8.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    81    19   100    4.8    5.7    6.7    1.5   65.6   62.4    2.7    4.2    5.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    33    67   100    5.8    5.5    6.3    1.9   67.1   64.3    2.1    3.8    5.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100    5.8    6.7    6.9    1.4   64.1   61.1    3.3    5.2    6.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    32    68   100    5.2    4.8    5.0    1.9   67.5   65.1    0.9    2.8    4.7   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    38    62   100    7.9    7.6    6.8    1.6   65.5   62.1    3.9    5.8    7.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100    5.4    6.2    6.6    1.4   64.6   61.5    3.1    4.8    6.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100    5.7    6.4    7.2    1.4   63.6   60.5    3.3    5.0    6.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    37    63   100    8.7    8.4    6.8    1.8   66.1   62.9    4.3    6.4    8.4   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    37    63   100    6.8    6.6    5.7    1.6   66.7   63.1    3.1    4.9    6.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    39    61   100    6.7    6.4    5.1    1.5   65.6   63.7    3.4    5.0    6.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    34    66   100    7.9    7.6    6.6    1.7   67.5   63.9    3.7    5.7    7.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    40    60   100    6.6    6.2    4.7    1.5   64.1   61.3    3.2    4.9    6.4   28   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    33    67   100    4.7    4.4    5.9    1.9   67.4   64.8    0.7    2.5    4.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100    5.3    6.2    6.8    1.5   65.3   62.2    2.9    4.6    6.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------