***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.11.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.11.2015.-20.12.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    90    10   100    0.0    0.4    1.2    0.7   59.7   58.8   -0.9   -0.1    0.7   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    88    12   100   -0.2    0.1    0.9    0.7   60.9   59.8   -1.3   -0.4    0.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    90    10   100    1.5    1.8    0.9    0.7   60.5   59.4    0.5    1.3    2.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    46    54   100   -3.0   -3.1   -1.4    1.1   64.6   63.5   -5.0   -4.0   -3.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    88    12   100   -0.6   -0.2   -1.3    0.9   62.1   61.2   -1.7   -0.8    0.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    86    14   100   -1.2   -0.8   -2.8    0.9   61.8   60.8   -2.3   -1.4   -0.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    89    11   100   -0.3    0.1    1.0    0.8   61.2   60.1   -1.3   -0.5    0.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    85    15   100   -5.1   -4.9   -2.6    0.7   59.4   58.4   -6.3   -5.4   -4.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    88    12   100    0.1    0.6   -0.6    1.0   63.7   62.5   -0.9   -0.1    0.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    87    13   100   -0.5   -0.1   -1.8    0.8   61.1   60.0   -1.5   -0.7    0.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    88    12   100   -0.6   -0.3   -1.8    0.8   59.7   58.9   -1.7   -0.8    0.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    87    13   100   -1.4   -1.2   -2.1    0.6   57.7   57.0   -2.4   -1.6   -0.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    88    12   100   -0.8   -0.6   -2.3    0.6   58.1   57.4   -2.0   -1.0   -0.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    87    13   100    0.3    0.4   -1.2    0.4   56.1   55.6   -0.6    0.1    0.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    38    62   100    0.3    0.3   -0.2    1.3   68.9   67.6   -1.6   -0.7    0.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    87    13   100    0.1    0.3   -2.2    0.8   59.5   58.9   -1.0   -0.1    0.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    88    12   100   -0.5   -0.1    0.9    0.9   63.1   61.9   -1.5   -0.7    0.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    86    14   100   -2.2   -1.8   -2.4    0.8   60.0   59.0   -3.4   -2.4   -1.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    88    12   100   -0.2    0.1    0.8    0.7   60.1   59.2   -1.1   -0.3    0.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    82    18   100   -4.7   -4.5   -3.8    0.7   59.3   58.0   -6.1   -5.1   -4.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    89    11   100   -0.2    0.3    0.5    0.9   62.8   61.7   -1.1   -0.3    0.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    88    12   100   -0.5   -0.1    0.9    0.9   62.6   61.6   -1.5   -0.7    0.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    89    11   100   -0.3   -0.1    0.4    0.6   58.6   57.8   -1.3   -0.5    0.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    88    12   100   -0.4   -0.2   -1.0    0.7   60.1   59.2   -1.2   -0.6    0.1   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    88    12   100   -0.1    0.3   -0.1    0.8   62.0   61.0   -1.2   -0.3    0.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    86    14   100   -0.7   -0.6   -2.3    0.4   55.3   55.0   -1.7   -0.9   -0.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    89    11   100    0.1    0.5    0.6    0.8   60.7   59.7   -1.0   -0.1    0.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    42    58   100   -0.8   -0.9   -1.2    1.1   65.7   64.7   -2.7   -1.8   -0.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    85    15   100   -2.8   -2.7   -3.1    0.6   58.0   57.1   -3.9   -3.1   -2.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    89    11   100    0.0    0.3    1.0    0.7   60.0   59.0   -1.0   -0.1    0.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------