***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.11.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.11.2018.-16.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    84    16   100   39.4   53.7   62.3  123.3   71.7   65.1   24.6   35.2   48.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    40    60   100   47.8   51.8   56.9  127.0   73.4   66.8   24.7   34.3   45.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    85    15   100   44.8   61.4   61.7  123.7   71.9   66.0   28.0   40.4   54.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   67.4   75.9   76.9  135.9   77.8   71.8   36.5   48.6   62.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    42    58   100   55.0   56.3   66.8  119.1   69.7   64.6   31.4   41.8   53.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    45    55   100   50.8   54.8   63.4  123.1   72.0   65.9   28.6   38.4   49.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    41    59   100   48.1   53.1   56.5  128.3   74.0   66.9   25.0   34.7   46.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    83    17   100   68.3   78.6   68.1  113.1   66.0   61.7   48.9   63.1   78.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    43    57   100   50.7   51.9   67.0  118.9   69.6   64.7   25.9   36.5   48.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    83    17   100   50.6   59.1   67.2  113.3   66.2   61.7   35.0   46.3   58.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    84    16   100   48.4   59.5   64.7  116.9   68.4   63.7   32.7   44.2   57.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    85    15   100   54.4   66.7   63.6  115.7   67.7   63.2   36.6   49.9   64.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    86    14   100   49.9   58.6   62.7  112.5   65.8   60.7   35.1   46.4   58.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    84    16   100   62.7   77.9   70.5  115.9   67.8   63.2   40.9   56.7   75.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    24    76   100   83.7  104.0   79.9  149.0   81.5   74.7   31.8   49.5   71.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    85    15   100   45.0   56.6   63.6  117.7   68.8   63.7   29.9   41.2   53.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    38    62   100   49.8   54.1   55.8  128.8   74.1   66.9   25.9   35.6   47.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    84    16   100   51.7   58.3   68.0  110.8   64.5   60.0   37.6   48.1   59.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    43    57   100   54.6   59.2   57.8  124.6   72.2   66.3   27.8   39.2   52.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    83    17   100   57.8   64.8   84.0  109.0   63.3   58.3   39.4   52.7   67.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    84    16   100   43.1   55.5   65.5  121.4   70.9   65.3   28.7   39.2   51.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    41    59   100   55.8   59.9   58.3  125.3   72.5   66.0   29.5   40.6   53.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    46    54   100   52.0   55.4   60.3  121.3   70.7   65.6   27.7   38.4   50.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    85    15   100   54.8   67.8   65.8  115.7   67.6   62.7   35.9   49.9   65.7   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    82    18   100   38.3   48.9   69.5  122.0   71.4   64.7   25.7   34.7   44.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    86    14   100   47.2   58.2   63.8  115.8   67.9   62.7   32.6   43.6   56.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    83    17   100   41.6   53.8   64.1  121.2   70.7   63.7   26.7   37.4   49.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    31    69   100   61.9   71.6   74.1  139.9   78.5   72.4   29.7   42.0   56.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    84    16   100   78.3   87.6   71.5  108.8   63.2   58.4   53.7   71.9   91.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    42    58   100   49.8   54.3   58.3  126.5   73.1   66.7   25.2   35.6   47.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------