***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.11.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.12.2018.-09.12.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    61    39     0   100    3.7    5.5    5.4   -0.7   42.9   47.6    4.4    6.3    8.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    60    40     0   100    3.0    4.5    5.1   -0.8   41.6   47.2    3.6    5.3    6.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    64    36     0   100    3.9    6.0    5.9   -0.6   44.3   48.4    4.8    6.7    8.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    62    38     0   100   -0.8    0.7    2.4   -1.1   38.9   43.5    0.0    2.0    3.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    65    35     0   100    4.0    6.1    4.0   -0.5   44.4   47.4    4.8    6.7    8.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    55    45     0   100    4.1    6.1    4.2   -0.2   48.4   50.0    4.5    6.3    7.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    58    42     0   100    3.0    4.3    5.1   -0.8   41.3   46.8    3.5    5.1    6.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    56    44     0   100   -0.9    1.5    4.4    0.1   50.5   51.2   -0.4    1.4    3.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    65    35     0   100    4.6    7.1    5.1   -0.3   46.8   48.9    5.5    7.4    9.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    58    42     0   100    4.2    6.5    4.9    0.0   49.5   50.5    4.7    6.5    8.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    63    37     0   100    4.0    6.3    4.4   -0.3   46.7   48.9    4.8    6.6    8.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100    4.4    6.9    4.5   -0.1   49.2   50.6    5.0    6.9    8.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100    4.4    6.5    4.2   -0.1   49.4   51.2    4.8    6.6    8.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    56    44     0   100    4.7    7.0    5.6   -0.3   47.4   49.9    5.2    7.3    9.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    62    38     0   100    3.3    4.3    3.0   -1.3   36.6   41.8    4.0    5.5    7.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    59    41     0   100    4.6    6.8    4.1   -0.3   46.9   49.2    5.3    7.2    9.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01    60    40     0   100    2.7    4.0    5.0   -0.9   40.8   46.1    3.3    4.8    6.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16    57    43     0   100    2.9    5.0    5.2    0.2   51.5   52.0    3.4    4.9    6.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    59    41     0   100    3.2    4.9    5.4   -0.7   42.6   47.7    3.8    5.7    7.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100    5.1    4.6    3.8    0.4   53.7   53.7    2.2    4.2    6.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    66    34     0   100    3.9    6.1    5.4   -0.5   45.0   48.1    4.8    6.6    8.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    55    45     0   100    3.3    4.7    5.1   -0.8   41.5   46.7    3.8    5.5    7.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    57    43     0   100    3.7    5.3    5.9   -0.6   44.4   48.6    4.2    5.9    7.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    59    41     0   100    4.8    7.4    5.7   -0.1   48.6   50.4    5.5    7.5    9.5   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11    60    40     0   100    3.5    4.9    3.9   -0.8   42.1   46.4    4.1    5.7    7.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    56    44     0   100    4.5    6.2    4.0   -0.1   48.6   50.5    4.9    6.3    7.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    59    41     0   100    4.0    5.7    4.9   -0.6   43.3   47.6    4.6    6.4    8.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    62    38     0   100    3.8    5.2    2.9   -1.0   39.5   43.8    4.5    6.2    7.9   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16    54    46     0   100    1.8    4.4    4.8    0.3   52.5   52.8    2.2    4.1    5.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    59    41     0   100    3.1    4.6    5.2   -0.8   42.0   47.5    3.7    5.4    7.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------