***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.11.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.11.2012.-16.12.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    34    66   100 9999.0    2.0    2.1    1.3   69.4   66.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    40    60   100    1.1    1.0    1.5    1.1   67.4   64.1   -1.0    0.0    1.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    35    65   100    2.8    3.0    1.9    1.4   71.9   68.0    0.7    1.7    2.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    41    59   100   -2.4   -2.3   -0.4    1.3   69.1   65.9   -4.7   -3.6   -2.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    39    61   100    0.7    0.7    0.0    1.2   68.1   64.9   -1.4   -0.4    0.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    39    61   100    0.0    0.3   -1.4    1.5   71.8   68.6   -2.1   -1.1   -0.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    81    19   100    0.3    0.7    1.3    0.8   63.4   60.9   -1.0    0.0    0.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    35    65   100   -3.9   -3.6   -0.5    1.7   73.3   69.6   -6.0   -5.0   -4.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    38    62   100    1.3    1.3    0.7    1.2   68.3   64.8   -0.6    0.3    1.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100    0.8    1.0   -0.1    1.5   71.5   67.8   -1.3   -0.3    0.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    40    60   100    0.6    0.8    0.0    1.4   70.7   67.1   -1.5   -0.5    0.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100   -0.1    0.0   -0.2    1.5   71.2   67.7   -2.2   -1.2   -0.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    42    58   100    0.4    0.6   -0.6    1.4   70.0   67.0   -1.8   -0.7    0.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    38    62   100    1.4    1.5    0.6    1.3   70.0   66.3   -0.4    0.5    1.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    44    56   100    1.0    1.3    0.2    1.3   71.1   67.4   -1.2   -0.1    0.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    42    58   100    1.2    1.5   -0.5    1.4   70.8   67.5   -0.8    0.2    1.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100    0.0    0.5    1.3    0.9   64.2   61.2   -1.2   -0.3    0.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    35    65   100   -0.8   -0.6   -0.5    1.6   72.2   68.6   -3.0   -2.0   -1.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    35    65   100    1.2    1.2    1.7    1.3   70.2   66.4   -0.9    0.1    1.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    30    70   100   -3.2   -2.9   -1.5    1.9   75.1   71.3   -5.9   -4.7   -3.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    36    64   100    1.1    1.2    1.5    1.3   69.6   66.0   -0.9    0.1    0.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    41    59   100    0.7    0.6    1.4    1.0   66.5   62.9   -1.3   -0.3    0.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    34    66   100    1.0    1.2    1.6    1.4   72.4   68.1   -0.9    0.0    0.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    36    64   100    0.7    0.8    0.6    1.5   71.8   67.9   -0.9   -0.2    0.5   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    41    59   100    1.2    1.3    0.7    1.3   69.3   66.1   -0.8    0.2    1.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    40    60   100    0.4    0.6   -0.5    1.4   70.6   67.8   -1.4   -0.5    0.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    40    60   100    1.5    1.4    1.2    1.1   66.3   63.4   -0.8    0.3    1.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    44    56   100   -0.3   -0.1   -0.2    1.3   69.6   66.2   -2.4   -1.3   -0.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    31    69   100   -1.5   -1.2   -0.9    1.8   74.0   70.1   -3.7   -2.7   -1.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    40    60   100    1.4    1.4    1.7    1.1   68.2   64.9   -0.8    0.3    1.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------