***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.11.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 24.11.2014.-30.11.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    39    61   100   10.2    9.9    8.4    1.3   65.2   62.2    6.2    8.2    9.9   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    30    70   100   10.0    9.6    8.4    1.4   66.7   63.5    6.1    7.9    9.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100   11.3   10.9    8.5    1.4   65.6   62.3    7.2    9.2   11.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100    3.5    4.4    6.2    1.2   64.0   60.8    1.0    2.9    4.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100    9.8   10.7    6.9    1.3   64.9   61.5    7.1    9.0   10.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    8.8    9.3    6.1    1.1   62.2   59.5    6.3    8.1    9.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    29    71   100    9.9    9.4    8.2    1.4   66.5   63.4    6.0    7.7    9.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    34    66   100    4.1    3.7    6.4    1.4   65.8   62.5    0.6    2.2    3.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   10.4   11.3    7.6    1.3   65.0   61.6    7.7    9.6   11.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    37    63   100   10.8   10.4    7.0    1.4   65.2   61.9    6.9    8.8   10.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   10.0   11.0    6.8    1.3   65.0   61.5    7.1    9.2   11.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    35    65   100   11.2   10.7    6.7    1.3   65.2   62.0    7.3    9.1   10.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   10.0   10.8    6.5    1.2   63.7   61.0    7.1    9.1   11.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    35    65   100   11.6   11.1    8.1    1.5   65.5   62.4    7.3    9.3   11.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    7.7    8.3    6.3    1.0   61.8   59.4    5.5    7.1    8.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   10.5   11.3    6.5    1.2   63.8   60.7    7.7    9.7   11.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    31    69   100    9.3    8.9    8.1    1.4   66.9   63.6    5.5    7.2    8.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    33    67   100    8.5    8.0    7.0    1.4   65.1   62.2    5.1    6.7    8.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    32    68   100   10.4   10.1    8.5    1.5   66.9   63.5    6.4    8.2   10.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    28    72   100    8.1    7.6    5.5    1.5   66.8   63.8    3.9    5.8    7.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100    9.9   10.8    8.1    1.3   64.9   61.6    7.2    9.1   11.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100    9.9    9.7    8.3    1.5   67.3   63.7    6.0    7.8    9.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    36    64   100   10.1    9.9    8.7    1.5   66.8   63.2    6.3    8.1    9.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    36    64   100   11.7   11.3    7.9    1.4   65.1   62.0    7.6    9.5   11.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100    8.8    9.8    7.1    1.3   65.7   62.5    6.4    8.1    9.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    38    62   100   10.4    9.9    6.3    1.2   64.3   61.7    6.8    8.5   10.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100   11.2   10.9    7.8    1.4   65.9   62.8    7.2    9.1   10.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100    8.2    8.9    6.3    1.0   62.4   59.5    5.9    7.6    9.2   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    30    70   100    8.1    7.5    6.4    1.5   65.7   62.9    3.8    5.7    7.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    30    70   100   10.1    9.6    8.5    1.4   66.3   63.1    6.2    7.9    9.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------