***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 10.11.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.12.2016.-11.12.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   -0.1    0.4    1.2    1.1   61.6   59.0   -2.1   -0.6    0.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    83    17   100   -0.6    0.0    0.8    1.1   62.0   59.9   -2.4   -1.0    0.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100    1.3    1.6    1.0    1.0   60.6   58.6   -0.7    0.7    2.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   -3.8   -3.4   -1.7    0.9   60.5   58.3   -6.3   -4.5   -2.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100   -0.9   -0.4   -1.0    1.1   61.9   59.6   -2.9   -1.4    0.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    33    67   100   -0.6   -1.1   -2.5    1.4   64.8   62.4   -3.7   -2.3   -0.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    81    19   100   -0.5    0.2    1.1    1.3   63.4   60.7   -2.3   -0.9    0.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    39    61   100   -4.0   -4.4   -2.2    1.4   63.4   60.8   -7.3   -5.7   -4.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   -0.1    0.4   -0.5    1.2   62.6   60.2   -2.0   -0.6    0.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    39    61   100    0.2   -0.2   -1.7    1.3   62.8   60.4   -2.5   -1.2    0.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   -0.8   -0.2   -1.4    1.3   63.6   61.1   -2.8   -1.3    0.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    38    62   100   -0.6   -1.0   -1.7    1.5   64.3   61.6   -3.6   -2.1   -0.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    35    65   100    0.1   -0.3   -2.0    1.5   64.7   62.0   -3.3   -1.7   -0.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100    0.2    0.4   -1.1    0.8   58.0   57.5   -1.4   -0.2    0.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100   -2.8   -0.4   -0.7    0.9   61.6   58.4   -2.6   -1.3   -0.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   -0.3    0.3   -1.8    1.4   64.2   61.6   -2.3   -0.9    0.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100   -0.8   -0.2    1.0    1.2   62.7   60.1   -2.5   -1.2    0.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    37    63   100   -1.2   -1.9   -2.5    1.1   60.6   59.1   -4.2   -2.7   -1.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100   -0.3    0.1    0.7    1.0   60.9   59.2   -2.1   -0.8    0.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    52    48     0   100   -8.1   -4.6   -3.4    1.3   61.3   59.2   -7.7   -5.8   -4.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   -0.4    0.0    0.5    1.1   61.4   59.1   -2.4   -0.9    0.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   -0.6   -0.3    0.6    1.0   60.9   58.9   -2.4   -1.1    0.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100   -0.3    0.0    0.5    0.9   59.7   58.4   -2.1   -0.7    0.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    38    62   100    0.4   -0.2   -1.3    1.0   59.9   58.7   -2.1   -0.9    0.2   28   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   -0.4    0.1    0.0    1.1   61.7   59.1   -2.3   -0.9    0.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    35    65   100   -0.2   -0.5   -1.9    1.5   65.2   62.7   -2.8   -1.6   -0.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   -0.3    0.3    0.9    1.2   62.5   59.8   -2.5   -0.9    0.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100   -1.9   -1.6   -1.6    0.9   60.7   58.5   -4.0   -2.5   -1.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    36    64   100   -1.9   -2.7   -2.9    1.1   60.2   58.8   -5.3   -3.7   -2.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100   -0.3    0.3    0.9    1.1   61.9   59.6   -2.3   -0.8    0.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------