***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 09.11.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.11.2017.-19.11.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    79    21   100    3.6    3.5    4.6    0.5   55.5   55.0    1.4    3.0    4.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100    2.7    2.0    3.8    0.0   49.9   50.1    0.3    2.0    3.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100    4.6    3.5    3.9   -0.3   46.0   47.3    2.2    3.9    5.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    41    59   100    1.0    0.2    2.4    0.8   61.2   59.1   -2.9   -1.0    0.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100    2.1    1.7    2.8    0.1   51.6   51.5    0.0    1.5    3.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    32    68   100    2.5    2.2    1.5    1.3   67.0   64.3   -0.5    0.9    2.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    81    19   100    2.6    2.2    4.0    0.2   52.2   52.0    0.4    2.0    3.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100   -2.6   -3.0    0.6    0.1   51.9   52.1   -5.0   -3.2   -1.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    81    19   100    2.9    2.8    2.9    0.3   54.7   54.3    0.9    2.4    3.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100    2.4    1.8    1.1    0.0   50.1   50.6    0.3    1.8    3.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100    1.9    1.9    2.5    0.4   55.9   55.2    0.0    1.4    2.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100    1.3    1.1    1.7    0.4   54.7   54.4   -0.7    0.7    2.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    1.4    1.5    1.9    0.6   57.9   57.2   -0.5    0.9    2.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100    3.3    1.5    1.3   -1.0   36.8   38.9    1.1    2.6    4.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    30    70   100    3.2    3.8    4.9    2.0   77.4   72.6    0.4    1.6    2.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100    2.5    2.6    2.1    0.5   57.5   56.7    0.6    2.0    3.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    2.5    1.6    3.2   -0.3   46.5   47.1    0.4    2.0    3.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100    0.7   -0.4    0.0   -0.7   42.2   43.7   -1.1    0.2    1.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100    2.6    1.8    3.6   -0.2   48.0   48.6    0.4    2.0    3.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    53    47     0   100   -4.3   -3.0   -1.2   -0.6   43.5   44.7   -4.0   -2.3   -0.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    82    18   100    2.8    2.4    3.8    0.1   51.6   51.8    0.5    2.2    3.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100    2.2    0.9    3.2   -0.6   42.9   44.0    0.0    1.5    2.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100    2.5    1.5    3.3   -0.4   44.8   46.1    0.5    1.9    3.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100    2.2    1.0    1.7   -0.6   41.7   43.7    0.3    1.6    2.9   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100    2.8    2.9    4.2    0.6   57.1   56.2    0.9    2.3    3.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    37    63   100    2.5    2.0    2.0    0.9   61.5   59.9    0.0    1.2    2.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100    3.6    3.7    4.5    0.7   57.8   56.9    0.6    2.8    4.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    38    62   100    1.9    1.7    3.0    1.2   65.6   63.3   -0.8    0.5    1.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100    0.7   -0.9   -0.8   -0.6   42.9   44.2   -2.0   -0.1    1.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100    3.1    2.5    4.1    0.1   51.2   51.4    0.6    2.4    4.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------