***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.11.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.11.2017.-19.11.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100    3.5    4.2    4.9    1.0   62.8   61.1    1.4    3.0    4.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100    2.6    3.2    4.4    0.9   61.0   59.6    0.3    2.0    3.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    82    18   100    4.5    5.1    4.8    0.9   61.5   60.3    2.2    3.9    5.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    36    64   100    1.1    0.4    2.1    0.9   62.6   60.9   -2.9   -1.0    0.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    80    20   100    2.1    2.8    3.1    1.1   63.7   62.0    0.0    1.5    3.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    32    68   100    2.5    2.3    1.2    1.4   68.7   66.1   -0.5    0.9    2.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100    2.6    3.1    4.5    1.0   61.6   60.1    0.4    2.0    3.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    83    17   100   -2.7   -1.8    1.1    1.1   63.9   62.8   -5.0   -3.2   -1.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    41    59   100    4.0    3.8    3.4    1.2   65.6   63.8    0.9    2.4    3.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    83    17   100    2.2    3.0    1.8    1.1   63.8   62.6    0.3    1.8    3.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    40    60   100    3.0    2.9    2.8    1.3   66.8   64.8    0.0    1.4    2.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    44    56   100    2.1    2.0    2.0    1.2   65.6   63.8   -0.7    0.7    2.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    39    61   100    2.4    2.4    2.1    1.4   68.2   66.2   -0.5    0.9    2.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    85    15   100    3.0    3.6    2.8    0.9   61.0   60.6    1.1    2.6    4.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    35    65   100    3.1    3.1    3.8    1.4   69.3   65.9    0.4    1.6    2.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    38    62   100    3.5    3.4    2.3    1.4   67.4   65.2    0.6    2.0    3.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100    2.4    2.7    4.0    0.7   58.6   57.7    0.4    2.0    3.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    84    16   100    0.5    1.0    1.0    0.9   61.0   60.6   -1.1    0.2    1.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100    2.5    3.1    4.4    0.9   61.5   60.1    0.4    2.0    3.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    84    16   100   -1.9   -1.3   -0.1    1.0   60.9   60.4   -4.0   -2.3   -0.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    42    58   100    4.0    3.6    4.3    1.0   63.6   62.1    0.5    2.2    3.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    83    17   100    2.0    2.2    4.0    0.7   58.4   57.6    0.0    1.5    2.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    82    18   100    2.4    3.0    4.3    1.0   62.9   61.3    0.5    1.9    3.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    83    17   100    2.0    2.6    2.8    1.0   62.9   62.1    0.3    1.6    2.9   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    41    59   100    3.8    3.4    4.1    1.1   63.3   61.5    0.9    2.3    3.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    42    58   100    2.4    2.4    1.8    1.3   66.6   64.2    0.0    1.2    2.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100    3.5    4.4    4.6    1.1   63.2   61.5    0.6    2.8    4.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    35    65   100    2.0    1.7    2.5    1.1   65.3   63.1   -0.8    0.5    1.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    84    16   100    0.4    1.3    0.6    1.0   62.3   61.8   -2.0   -0.1    1.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100    3.0    3.6    4.6    1.0   61.8   60.3    0.6    2.4    4.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------