***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 01.11.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.11.2018.-25.11.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    54    46     0   100    3.7   10.5   13.0   99.2   62.9   48.4    3.3    6.7   11.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    3.2   11.7   13.1  114.1   68.1   49.3    2.9    6.1   11.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    56    44     0   100    3.5   10.5   12.7   98.5   62.4   47.7    3.1    6.7   12.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    53    47     0   100    4.9   11.1   12.5   82.4   56.4   43.3    4.3    8.8   15.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100    3.7    8.8   12.3   83.7   56.7   43.9    3.3    6.9   12.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    60    40     0   100    5.0   11.1   11.2   78.7   54.0   42.0    5.1    9.7   16.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    55    45     0   100    3.4   11.5   12.7  111.8   67.2   48.7    3.0    6.2   10.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    7.7   19.7   14.2   95.1   60.6   46.5    7.1   13.9   23.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100    3.8    8.9   13.0   86.8   57.9   44.7    3.2    6.7   11.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    4.1   10.4   13.9   92.2   59.5   45.8    3.6    7.3   12.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    58    42     0   100    3.8   10.3   12.2   87.2   57.8   44.1    3.5    7.6   14.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    57    43     0   100    4.7   13.0   12.5   91.0   59.2   45.2    4.2    9.2   16.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    58    42     0   100    4.6   11.8   12.2   84.8   56.5   43.7    4.3    9.2   16.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100    6.6   16.9   15.8   98.0   62.0   48.0    5.8   11.3   19.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    53    47     0   100    4.6   12.4   12.9   85.9   58.5   43.9    3.7    8.7   16.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    3.8    9.6   11.6   83.2   56.2   42.7    3.5    7.6   13.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01    56    44     0   100    3.4   12.5   13.0  115.6   68.5   49.7    3.1    6.5   11.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    5.0   12.1   14.9   95.0   60.3   47.5    4.4    8.6   14.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    53    47     0   100    4.2   13.1   13.2  111.1   67.0   49.3    3.8    7.5   12.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100    5.6   15.6   19.9   99.8   62.3   48.8    4.6    9.9   17.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    3.7    9.1   12.7   88.6   58.8   46.0    3.3    6.7   11.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    52    48     0   100    5.1   15.4   14.4  120.5   70.0   50.8    4.8    8.5   13.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    51    49     0   100    3.9   11.0   13.3  103.9   64.6   48.9    3.4    6.7   11.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100    4.8   12.6   14.0   94.1   60.5   47.4    4.1    8.6   15.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    3.7    9.2   13.5   90.8   59.8   47.1    3.2    6.5   11.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    57    43     0   100    5.0   12.4   12.6   83.5   55.9   43.4    4.6    9.9   17.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    56    44     0   100    3.3    9.7   13.2   96.5   61.9   47.7    3.0    6.3   11.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    53    47     0   100    4.9   10.7   11.7   81.6   56.2   42.1    4.3    8.6   14.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100    7.5   19.9   16.1   95.7   60.5   48.2    6.4   13.4   24.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    52    48     0   100    3.5   11.6   13.1  110.2   66.8   49.0    3.0    6.3   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------