***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 01.11.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.11.2012.-25.11.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    51    49     0   100 9999.0    5.6   13.8   90.2   59.1   48.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    3.2    8.2   12.0   84.2   57.8   47.2    2.9    6.1   11.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    51    49     0   100    3.8    9.7   14.4   92.6   60.0   48.7    3.1    6.7   12.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   12.3   15.0   17.2  106.1   65.3   53.0    4.3    8.8   15.2   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    3.8   11.0   16.3  100.1   62.8   50.4    3.3    6.9   12.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    55    45     0   100    5.4   15.3   15.8  104.0   63.8   51.2    5.1    9.7   16.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100    3.3    8.2   11.9   84.7   57.5   46.8    3.0    6.2   10.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100    8.2   20.6   17.2   97.6   61.9   49.5    7.1   13.9   23.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    3.6    9.7   15.9   94.9   60.3   48.7    3.2    6.7   11.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    4.1   10.7   16.9   95.5   60.7   48.6    3.6    7.3   12.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    52    48     0   100    4.2   12.5   15.3  100.6   63.1   50.0    3.5    7.6   14.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100    5.1   15.4   15.3  102.5   63.8   50.7    4.2    9.2   16.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    4.9   15.0   15.3  102.0   63.4   51.0    4.3    9.2   16.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    55    45     0   100    6.2   15.8   17.0   93.2   59.9   47.3    5.8   11.3   19.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100   12.7   17.8   17.5  110.9   67.7   55.6    3.7    8.7   16.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    53    47     0   100    4.1   12.9   15.0  103.8   64.2   51.0    3.5    7.6   13.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01    53    47     0   100    3.6    7.6   10.3   74.8   54.2   45.0    3.1    6.5   11.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    4.6   11.7   18.3   92.9   59.1   47.1    4.4    8.6   14.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    54    46     0   100    4.2    9.9   12.7   86.2   58.5   47.6    3.8    7.5   12.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    5.2   13.6   22.2   90.6   58.6   47.5    4.6    9.9   17.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    3.7    9.4   15.2   93.3   59.8   48.8    3.3    6.7   11.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    54    46     0   100    5.0    9.7   11.0   73.8   53.9   44.6    4.8    8.5   13.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    54    46     0   100    3.7    9.3   14.2   90.5   59.7   48.1    3.4    6.7   11.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    56    44     0   100    4.5   12.5   16.7   94.1   60.1   47.7    4.1    8.6   15.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100    9.1    9.9   16.3   97.3   61.8   51.0    3.2    6.5   11.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   14.1   15.9   15.2  100.3   62.9   50.4    4.6    9.9   17.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100    8.9    9.1   14.9   92.7   60.1   49.4    3.0    6.3   11.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100   11.8   15.1   16.9  109.7   66.8   53.9    4.3    8.6   14.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    57    43     0   100    6.9   18.3   19.4   90.7   58.3   46.7    6.4   13.4   24.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    53    47     0   100    3.5    8.8   12.9   88.5   59.2   48.2    3.0    6.3   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------