***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 29.10.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.11.2015.-22.11.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100   10.9    9.3    8.4   -0.4   44.7   47.8    7.8   10.0   12.2   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   10.1    8.8    8.5   -0.3   46.5   49.0    7.2    9.2   11.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00    51    49     0   100    7.5    9.6    8.6   -0.3   45.8   48.7    7.8   10.1   12.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    51    49     0   100    1.6    3.7    6.2   -0.4   45.1   48.5    2.0    4.4    6.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    7.4    9.5    6.8   -0.3   46.4   49.2    7.7   10.0   12.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100   10.4    8.9    6.0   -0.3   45.9   48.5    7.2    9.4   11.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   10.0    8.6    8.3   -0.3   45.8   48.3    7.0    9.1   11.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100    3.3    2.6    6.5    0.0   50.5   52.1    0.7    2.6    4.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100   11.7   10.3    7.7   -0.2   47.6   50.0    8.2   10.6   12.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100   10.9    9.8    7.1    0.0   49.6   51.2    7.5    9.8   12.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100    7.4    9.8    6.8   -0.2   47.1   49.6    7.8   10.3   12.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   11.1    9.8    6.7   -0.2   47.4   49.9    7.8   10.1   12.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    7.5    9.5    6.3   -0.4   44.8   47.8    7.9   10.2   12.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   11.8   10.5    8.3   -0.1   48.9   50.6    8.1   10.7   13.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100    9.3    8.0    6.3   -0.4   44.9   48.5    6.6    8.5   10.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    75    25   100   11.8   10.1    6.4   -0.4   45.2   48.2    8.5   10.8   12.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    9.4    8.3    8.3   -0.2   46.8   49.0    6.7    8.6   10.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    6.2    8.7    7.1    0.0   50.4   51.7    6.5    8.7   10.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   10.3    9.1    8.7   -0.2   46.9   49.4    7.2    9.4   11.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100    3.9    7.0    5.6    0.2   53.1   53.7    4.3    6.6    8.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   11.3    9.8    8.1   -0.3   46.1   49.0    8.0   10.3   12.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   10.0    8.8    8.5   -0.2   47.1   49.4    7.0    9.1   11.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   10.4    9.2    8.9   -0.2   47.5   49.9    7.3    9.5   11.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100    8.0   10.6    8.1   -0.1   48.5   50.4    8.4   10.8   13.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100   10.2    8.9    6.9   -0.3   46.0   48.8    7.3    9.4   11.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100   10.4    8.9    6.2   -0.4   44.2   47.5    7.6    9.6   11.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   11.0    9.6    7.7   -0.4   45.6   48.1    8.0   10.2   12.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100    6.7    8.5    6.3   -0.4   44.6   48.2    7.0    9.2   11.3   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    3.7    6.6    6.6    0.1   51.3   52.3    4.1    6.5    8.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   10.1    8.7    8.6   -0.3   45.8   48.6    7.2    9.2   11.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------