***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.10.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.11.2016.-13.11.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    66    34     0   100    9.2    9.3    9.4   -2.3   26.8   31.3   10.0   11.8   13.5   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    68    32     0   100    8.4    8.7    9.4   -2.3   27.8   31.9    9.3   10.9   12.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00    60    40     0   100    9.8    9.9    9.8   -2.3   28.2   32.9   10.4   12.2   13.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    66    34     0   100    3.3    3.5    6.6   -2.3   26.6   31.5    4.2    5.8    7.4   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    59    41     0   100    9.8    9.8    8.0   -2.3   27.3   32.8   10.4   12.3   14.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    64    36     0   100    8.5    9.4    7.5   -1.6   33.4   37.7    9.4   11.4   13.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    66    34     0   100    8.2    8.4    9.4   -2.3   27.5   31.6    9.1   10.8   12.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    59    41     0   100    2.2    2.5    7.3   -2.0   30.3   35.3    2.8    4.3    5.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100   10.2   10.3    8.8   -2.2   28.6   33.7   10.8   12.6   14.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    60    40     0   100    9.6    9.9    7.9   -2.2   29.8   35.0   10.2   11.9   13.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    59    41     0   100    9.9   10.1    8.4   -2.1   29.4   34.6   10.6   12.5   14.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    60    40     0   100    9.6    9.9    7.9   -1.9   30.2   35.2   10.2   12.1   13.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    65    35     0   100    9.3   10.0    8.5   -1.8   31.6   36.8   10.2   12.2   14.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    61    39     0   100   10.2   10.7    9.1   -2.1   31.3   36.0   10.9   12.7   14.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    65    35     0   100    8.5    8.5    8.1   -2.2   26.6   31.4    9.2   10.6   12.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    63    37     0   100    9.9   10.4    8.1   -2.0   30.1   35.3   10.7   12.8   14.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01    69    31     0   100    8.1    8.4    9.1   -2.3   27.4   31.4    8.9   10.5   11.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    59    41     0   100    8.6    8.9    7.7   -2.1   30.8   35.9    9.1   10.8   12.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    66    34     0   100    8.9    9.3    9.6   -2.2   28.6   32.9    9.8   11.5   13.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    62    38     0   100    6.6    7.1    6.3   -1.8   31.5   36.7    7.3    9.1   10.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    62    38     0   100    9.7    9.8    9.4   -2.3   27.6   32.6   10.5   12.3   14.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    68    32     0   100    8.7    9.1    9.3   -2.1   28.6   32.7    9.6   11.2   12.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    61    39     0   100    9.2    9.5    9.8   -2.1   30.0   34.5    9.8   11.6   13.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    59    41     0   100   10.4   10.8    9.1   -2.1   30.7   35.5   11.0   12.9   14.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    70    30     0   100    8.4    8.6    8.2   -2.4   25.7   30.6    9.5   11.3   12.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    63    37     0   100    9.1    9.7    7.6   -1.7   30.8   36.2    9.9   11.7   13.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    69    31     0   100    8.9    9.2    9.0   -2.3   26.6   31.2   10.0   11.8   13.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    64    36     0   100    9.0    9.1    7.4   -2.2   27.7   32.6    9.5   10.8   12.0   29   Zajecar                       
36700G16    61    39     0   100    6.0    6.5    7.2   -2.0   31.5   36.7    6.7    8.5   10.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    65    35     0   100    8.6    8.8    9.5   -2.3   27.6   31.9    9.4   11.1   12.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------