***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 24.10.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.11.2019.-17.11.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    59    41     0   100    4.1   12.3   13.2  105.2   65.7   45.0    4.1    7.6   12.4   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    62    38     0   100    3.8   13.3   12.2  106.4   66.2   47.2    3.9    7.7   13.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    64    36     0   100    4.8   17.6   12.8  105.7   65.9   45.1    5.1   10.2   17.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100    6.1   16.9   14.2  102.8   64.9   47.5    6.1   10.9   17.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100    6.3   15.9   12.9   95.6   62.6   45.7    6.0   10.9   17.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    6.1   13.5   10.7   85.4   58.1   45.5    5.4   10.3   17.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    60    40     0   100    4.1   12.1   12.0  102.9   64.8   46.8    4.2    7.7   12.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    8.0   17.7   12.3   86.5   58.6   44.3    7.9   13.7   21.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    59    41     0   100    5.3   14.0   12.9   93.4   61.7   45.5    5.4    9.9   16.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    55    45     0   100    6.1   15.3   12.7   88.6   59.5   44.7    5.7   11.1   18.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    6.4   15.2   11.2   88.0   59.5   44.4    6.0   11.2   18.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    54    46     0   100    6.0   14.6   10.8   83.7   57.7   44.1    5.4   11.0   19.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100    6.1   13.3   11.1   82.6   56.8   44.4    5.4   10.5   17.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    61    39     0   100    6.7   20.8   15.4  106.3   66.1   47.4    7.0   12.7   20.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    52    48     0   100    4.7   15.5   14.8  104.9   66.3   48.8    3.9    8.5   15.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    6.4   14.1   11.0   87.1   59.0   44.8    5.7   10.7   17.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01    58    42     0   100    4.6   12.3   11.8  101.0   64.7   48.4    4.7    8.2   12.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    6.1   15.6   13.9   92.9   61.1   45.3    6.0   11.0   18.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    64    36     0   100    4.8   16.9   12.4  108.7   66.9   47.2    5.2    9.9   16.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    7.4   20.0   18.4   99.7   63.7   47.6    7.1   13.1   21.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    60    40     0   100    5.3   15.4   12.8   97.9   63.5   44.9    5.5   10.1   16.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    61    39     0   100    4.5   14.6   12.3  102.9   65.4   49.0    4.6    8.9   15.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    64    36     0   100    4.8   16.1   12.9  110.1   67.3   47.2    5.3    9.7   15.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    56    44     0   100    5.0   15.1   13.7   98.7   63.4   45.4    4.7    9.5   16.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    57    43     0   100    4.8   13.0   14.2  101.3   64.5   46.0    4.7    8.5   13.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100    5.3   13.8   12.0   88.3   60.0   45.8    4.7    9.6   16.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    58    42     0   100    4.5   13.3   13.4  101.8   64.5   45.4    4.5    8.4   13.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100    5.1   15.3   13.0  100.4   64.3   47.9    4.4    9.1   16.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    56    44     0   100    9.1   23.0   15.6   98.1   63.0   46.5    9.0   15.9   25.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    62    38     0   100    3.8   13.9   12.6  106.9   66.3   46.4    3.9    7.9   13.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------