***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.10.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 17.10.2016.-13.11.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    62    38     0   100    3.2    4.0    6.9   -0.5   39.8   41.7    3.6    4.5    5.4   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    63    37     0   100    2.9    3.9    6.6   -0.2   45.0   45.5    3.2    4.2    5.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    62    38     0   100    5.2    6.0    6.9   -0.4   41.5   42.9    5.5    6.4    7.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    60    40     0   100    0.2    0.8    4.0   -0.5   37.9   40.1    0.5    1.4    2.3   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    56    44     0   100    2.5    3.2    5.0   -0.3   42.3   43.7    2.7    3.6    4.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100    1.9    2.8    3.1   -0.2   46.6   47.3    2.1    3.0    3.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    62    38     0   100    2.9    3.8    6.7   -0.3   43.2   44.4    3.3    4.1    4.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   -1.6   -0.4    3.6    0.1   53.4   51.8   -1.5   -0.6    0.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    52    48     0   100    3.5    4.4    5.4    0.0   49.0   48.7    3.7    4.5    5.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100    4.5    4.3    4.3    0.1   52.3   51.0    3.4    4.2    4.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    2.8    3.6    4.7   -0.1   46.9   47.2    2.9    3.7    4.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    1.9    2.8    4.1   -0.1   47.9   48.0    2.1    2.9    3.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    2.3    3.3    4.1    0.0   49.5   49.3    2.5    3.3    4.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    54    46     0   100    4.0    5.0    5.5    0.1   53.2   51.6    4.1    4.9    5.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    54    46     0   100    3.1    3.8    5.3   -0.3   43.7   44.4    3.3    4.1    4.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    54    46     0   100    3.5    4.3    4.1   -0.2   45.3   46.2    3.7    4.6    5.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    63    37     0   100    3.0    4.0    6.5   -0.2   45.8   46.4    3.4    4.2    5.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    75    25   100    3.2    2.9    3.8    0.1   52.3   51.0    2.1    2.8    3.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    62    38     0   100    3.1    4.1    6.6   -0.2   45.9   46.1    3.5    4.3    5.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    0.4    0.5    2.8    0.4   59.9   56.4   -0.9    0.0    0.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    57    43     0   100    3.1    3.8    6.4   -0.3   42.6   43.8    3.3    4.2    5.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    60    40     0   100    2.6    3.5    6.5   -0.2   45.5   46.1    2.9    3.7    4.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    58    42     0   100    3.2    4.2    6.7   -0.1   48.4   47.9    3.5    4.2    4.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100    3.0    3.9    5.3    0.0   50.3   49.6    3.1    3.9    4.6   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    61    39     0   100    3.3    4.0    5.8   -0.5   38.3   40.5    3.7    4.5    5.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    4.0    3.7    3.8    0.0   51.1   50.8    2.8    3.7    4.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    60    40     0   100    3.3    4.1    6.5   -0.4   40.5   42.2    3.6    4.6    5.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    1.7    2.3    4.3   -0.4   41.4   43.0    1.9    2.8    3.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100    2.8    2.8    3.5    0.4   58.0   55.1    1.6    2.4    3.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    63    37     0   100    3.2    4.1    6.7   -0.3   43.1   44.0    3.6    4.5    5.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------