***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.10.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.10.2012.-04.11.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100 9999.0   14.4   14.1    0.4   54.7   54.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100   14.8   14.7   13.9    0.4   55.4   55.1   12.5   14.1   15.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   15.7   15.6   14.3    0.4   55.0   54.9   13.0   15.0   16.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100    9.5    8.8   12.3    0.0   50.4   52.2    6.6    8.7   10.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   15.6   15.1   12.8    0.2   52.0   53.1   13.0   14.9   16.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   15.4   14.9   12.0    0.2   52.6   53.4   12.6   14.6   16.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100   14.5   14.3   13.8    0.4   55.0   54.7   12.2   13.8   15.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    8.1    7.9   12.2    0.4   55.3   55.0    5.8    7.4    9.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   15.9   15.5   13.5    0.3   53.2   53.6   13.2   15.1   17.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   15.6   15.2   12.8    0.3   54.0   54.1   12.8   14.8   16.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   15.9   15.6   12.9    0.3   54.2   54.6   13.1   15.1   17.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    79    21   100   15.7   15.7   12.9    0.5   56.6   56.0   12.8   14.9   16.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   16.0   16.0   12.7    0.5   56.6   56.0   13.2   15.2   17.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100   12.5   15.6   13.5    0.3   53.8   53.6   12.9   15.1   17.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   14.3   13.8   12.5    0.1   51.1   52.9   12.2   13.7   15.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   16.6   16.4   12.7    0.3   54.0   54.6   13.9   15.9   17.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   13.9   13.6   13.4    0.3   53.3   53.3   11.7   13.3   14.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   14.7   14.3   12.5    0.4   54.2   53.9   11.8   13.8   15.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   15.1   14.9   14.2    0.5   55.8   55.4   12.5   14.3   16.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100   13.0   12.8   10.7    0.4   55.0   54.5   10.3   12.3   14.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   15.7   15.3   13.9    0.3   53.0   53.5   13.0   15.0   16.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   14.8   14.4   13.6    0.3   53.2   53.3   12.3   14.1   15.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100   15.2   15.0   14.3    0.5   56.0   55.5   12.6   14.4   16.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   16.1   15.8   13.6    0.4   54.5   54.2   13.2   15.3   17.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   14.5   14.2   12.7    0.2   52.6   53.2   12.2   13.9   15.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   15.6   15.6   12.5    0.5   56.6   55.8   13.1   14.9   16.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    82    18   100   15.3   15.2   13.5    0.3   54.2   54.1   12.9   14.7   16.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   14.9   14.3   12.5    0.0   50.5   52.4   12.5   14.2   15.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   12.1   11.8   11.8    0.4   54.8   54.3    9.0   11.2   13.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100   14.7   14.7   14.1    0.5   55.8   55.4   12.4   14.1   15.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------