***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.10.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.10.2019.-27.10.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100    7.1    6.4    8.9    0.9   61.2   59.1    4.1    5.5    6.8   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    32    68   100    7.3    6.3    8.4    0.7   59.7   58.4    3.9    5.4    6.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    35    65   100    9.1    8.3    8.8    0.8   60.8   59.1    6.1    7.5    8.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    30    70   100    4.5    3.7    6.2    1.0   62.8   61.0    1.0    2.6    4.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    31    69   100    6.4    5.7    6.5    0.9   61.5   60.0    3.4    4.8    6.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    31    69   100    5.7    5.0    4.6    0.8   60.9   60.4    3.0    4.2    5.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    34    66   100    7.0    6.2    8.4    0.7   59.6   58.1    3.9    5.4    6.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   -1.3    1.1    4.7    0.7   59.6   59.0   -1.1    0.4    1.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    32    68   100    7.4    6.7    6.8    0.9   61.6   60.1    4.3    5.7    7.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100    6.8    6.2    5.4    0.8   60.6   59.5    4.3    5.4    6.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    32    68   100    6.5    5.8    5.9    0.8   60.6   59.7    3.8    5.0    6.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100    5.6    4.9    5.2    0.7   59.8   59.0    3.0    4.2    5.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    36    64   100    6.1    5.4    4.9    0.8   60.1   59.3    3.6    4.8    5.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    33    67   100    7.4    6.6    6.7    0.7   59.3   58.8    4.6    5.9    7.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    27    73   100    6.4    6.0    7.2    1.1   65.8   62.9    4.0    5.0    6.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    34    66   100    7.3    6.6    5.4    0.8   60.6   59.8    4.6    5.9    7.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    31    69   100    7.1    6.2    8.1    0.7   59.6   58.4    4.0    5.4    6.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    34    66   100    5.9    5.1    4.7    0.8   60.0   59.1    3.0    4.3    5.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    32    68   100    7.1    6.2    8.4    0.7   59.6   58.5    4.0    5.4    6.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100   -0.1    2.1    3.4    0.7   58.8   58.1    0.1    1.4    2.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    32    68   100    6.9    6.2    8.1    0.8   61.1   59.5    3.9    5.3    6.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    31    69   100    6.4    5.5    8.0    0.7   59.6   58.5    3.4    4.8    6.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    32    68   100    6.8    6.0    8.2    0.7   59.4   58.5    4.0    5.3    6.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100    6.6    5.9    6.4    0.8   61.1   60.0    3.8    5.1    6.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    33    67   100    7.5    6.8    7.7    0.9   62.0   60.0    4.5    5.8    7.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    34    66   100    6.5    5.8    4.7    0.8   60.6   59.8    4.0    5.2    6.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    35    65   100    7.7    7.0    8.5    1.0   61.9   59.6    4.4    6.0    7.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    30    70   100    5.3    4.8    6.2    1.0   63.5   61.7    2.8    3.9    5.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    35    65   100    5.3    4.3    4.3    0.7   58.7   58.1    2.0    3.5    4.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    34    66   100    7.4    6.5    8.6    0.8   60.1   58.6    4.1    5.6    7.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------