***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.09.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.10.2017.-22.10.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    75    25   100   11.7   11.2    9.9   81.4   58.5   45.6    3.6    8.0   14.6   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100    8.9   10.8   11.0   98.0   64.3   51.5    2.5    6.0   11.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   10.4   11.1   10.8   89.5   61.3   48.0    3.3    7.2   13.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    54    46     0   100    3.6    9.6   11.3   78.8   58.1   44.1    2.9    6.9   13.0   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    3.9    9.3   11.7   84.7   59.2   46.0    3.5    6.8   11.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100    7.5    7.9   13.2   92.8   61.2   49.0    2.3    5.1    9.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    8.5   10.0   11.2   97.5   64.2   51.0    2.6    5.8   10.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   12.7   13.1   13.6   89.0   60.1   49.4    5.2    9.6   15.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100    4.3    9.8   12.3   87.8   60.2   47.5    4.0    7.2   11.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100   11.7   11.9   13.5   88.9   60.2   48.8    4.2    8.3   14.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100    4.3   10.5   12.0   88.5   60.6   48.5    3.8    7.4   12.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100    3.8    9.4   12.3   89.8   60.5   49.2    3.3    6.5   11.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    8.8    9.7   13.3   94.9   62.1   49.7    3.0    6.2   11.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   17.0   20.4   15.0  101.3   64.7   52.4    6.1   12.3   21.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    57    43     0   100    2.7    8.9   12.2   80.1   59.4   42.3    2.1    5.8   11.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    53    47     0   100    3.8    9.4   12.2   90.0   61.0   48.3    3.5    6.7   11.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    75    25   100    7.9    9.8   11.2  101.7   65.5   52.1    2.0    5.0    9.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    4.5   10.9   14.0   88.6   59.5   48.3    4.1    8.0   13.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   13.0   15.3   10.9   96.9   63.8   51.4    4.0    9.0   16.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100   12.2   11.8   16.1   85.0   57.7   48.1    4.3    8.9   15.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   10.0   10.4   11.4   88.7   60.9   46.9    3.3    6.9   12.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100    9.9   12.1   11.7  102.4   65.4   53.3    2.9    6.6   12.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100   12.2   14.0   10.9   93.0   62.4   50.6    4.1    8.7   15.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100    5.3   15.0   13.2   94.4   62.1   49.9    4.3    9.5   17.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100   10.3    9.5   10.7   78.9   57.7   44.0    3.1    7.1   13.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    60    40     0   100    2.8    8.7   12.9   90.9   61.1   47.6    2.7    5.7   10.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    75    25   100   10.1    9.6   10.4   81.3   58.6   45.3    3.2    7.0   12.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    3.3    9.2   11.9   84.3   60.2   45.1    2.9    6.2   11.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100    6.4   15.4   14.8   89.3   59.4   48.7    5.7   11.2   19.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   10.8   12.6   10.9   93.9   63.0   50.1    3.5    7.7   14.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------