***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.09.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 14.10.2013.-20.10.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    61    39     0   100 9999.0    8.7    9.8   91.1   61.8   42.3 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    59    41     0   100    2.7    8.7   10.2  101.6   64.8   45.9    2.6    5.2    9.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    58    42     0   100    2.6    8.1   10.2   93.1   62.3   43.1    2.5    5.1    9.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    58    42     0   100    3.0    8.6    9.9   78.7   58.0   40.6    2.7    6.2   11.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    58    42     0   100    2.9    8.4   10.5   86.5   60.5   42.9    2.7    5.7   10.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100    3.0    7.0   10.8   79.1   56.7   41.1    2.8    5.5    9.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    64    36     0   100    2.5    8.7   10.2  102.9   65.0   45.1    2.7    5.3    9.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    60    40     0   100    4.4   11.7   11.3   87.0   60.2   43.5    4.5    8.5   14.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    52    48     0   100    3.6    9.2   10.9   89.0   61.1   42.8    3.2    6.3   10.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    54    46     0   100    4.5   12.0   11.7   89.5   61.0   43.5    4.2    8.2   14.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    59    41     0   100    3.7    9.8    9.3   83.9   59.5   41.6    3.7    7.1   12.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    63    37     0   100    2.7    7.7    9.0   83.2   58.8   41.7    2.8    5.6    9.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    59    41     0   100    2.9    7.6    9.6   81.4   57.7   42.0    2.8    5.8   10.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    5.4   14.5   13.6   98.0   63.4   46.8    5.0    9.5   15.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    61    39     0   100    2.1    6.4    9.2   72.7   56.5   39.4    1.8    4.8    9.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    3.1    7.5    9.3   81.9   58.5   42.0    3.1    5.7    9.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01    57    43     0   100    2.5    8.6   10.3  105.9   66.5   47.9    2.4    4.8    8.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    53    47     0   100    4.1   10.4   13.7   90.1   60.7   44.4    3.7    7.3   12.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    56    44     0   100    3.4   10.3   10.2   97.7   63.6   45.6    3.2    6.4   11.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   10.5   11.2   17.0   89.4   61.4   47.3    3.4    7.4   13.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    54    46     0   100    2.9    7.9   10.3   90.2   61.7   42.8    2.6    5.3    9.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    53    47     0   100    3.1    9.5   10.6  103.0   65.7   49.4    2.8    5.5    9.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    53    47     0   100    3.7    9.6   10.8   94.2   62.3   45.2    3.3    6.4   10.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100    3.5   10.9   12.6   93.4   61.8   44.1    3.1    6.9   12.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    3.0    7.8   11.1   87.4   61.1   43.4    2.6    5.3    9.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    65    35     0   100    2.9    8.2    9.0   81.0   57.5   40.6    3.1    6.3   10.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    59    41     0   100    3.0    8.3   10.6   89.1   61.0   42.8    2.9    5.7    9.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    58    42     0   100    3.0    7.2    9.2   74.9   56.8   39.9    2.9    5.7    9.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    6.1   14.8   15.2   89.5   60.7   46.0    5.3   10.4   17.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    63    37     0   100    2.8    8.8   10.0   97.7   63.3   44.4    3.0    5.8    9.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------