***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.09.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.10.2017.-22.10.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    75    25   100   17.3   17.5   17.5    0.9   60.4   57.4   15.3   16.7   18.0   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   17.2   17.2   17.2    0.7   57.5   55.4   15.5   16.7   17.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100   17.8   18.0   17.8    1.0   60.6   57.3   15.8   17.2   18.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   12.2   12.1   16.0    1.8   69.4   63.1    8.7   10.3   11.8   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    36    64   100   19.0   18.5   16.4    1.3   63.8   59.6   15.9   17.4   18.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    30    70   100   18.7   18.0   15.1    1.3   62.7   59.1   15.4   16.9   18.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   17.0   17.0   17.2    0.6   57.4   55.4   15.3   16.5   17.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100   10.2    9.8   15.4    1.4   64.2   59.9    7.2    8.6    9.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    54    46     0   100   15.6   18.6   16.9    1.2   63.0   58.8   16.0   17.5   18.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    52    48     0   100   15.2   18.1   16.0    1.3   63.2   59.1   15.5   17.0   18.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    37    63   100   19.1   18.6   16.5    1.4   64.1   59.8   15.7   17.3   18.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100   18.8   18.5   16.2    1.4   64.8   60.3   15.5   17.1   18.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100   16.0   18.9   15.7    1.2   62.4   58.9   16.3   17.8   19.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   18.1   18.3   16.6    0.9   59.7   56.4   16.1   17.5   18.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    32    68   100   17.4   17.5   16.7    1.9   71.4   64.2   14.7   16.0   17.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    36    64   100   20.0   19.6   16.3    1.4   64.7   60.2   16.7   18.2   19.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   16.6   16.6   16.8    0.5   56.0   54.3   15.0   16.2   17.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    75    25   100   16.9   17.3   15.7    1.3   62.5   58.5   14.8   16.3   17.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   17.2   17.3   17.5    0.8   58.5   56.1   15.3   16.6   17.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   14.7   15.2   13.6    1.3   63.5   59.6   12.5   14.0   15.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    52    48     0   100   15.6   18.2   17.3    1.1   61.8   58.0   15.8   17.2   18.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   17.2   17.1   16.8    0.5   55.6   54.0   15.5   16.7   17.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100   17.5   17.7   17.8    1.0   60.3   57.1   15.7   17.0   18.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100   15.8   18.5   16.8    1.1   61.5   57.7   16.1   17.5   18.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   17.0   17.4   16.1    1.1   62.6   58.6   15.3   16.5   17.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    32    68   100   19.0   18.7   15.8    1.5   66.5   61.7   15.9   17.3   18.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    75    25   100   17.7   17.9   16.9    1.0   60.8   57.6   15.9   17.1   18.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    31    69   100   18.4   18.4   16.4    1.9   70.2   63.5   15.1   16.6   18.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    75    25   100   13.7   14.1   14.9    1.2   61.6   58.2   11.4   13.0   14.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    75    25   100   17.2   17.2   17.4    0.7   58.3   56.1   15.4   16.6   17.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------