***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.09.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.09.2014.-05.10.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100   21.5   19.8   19.1   -1.2   35.9   39.0   19.6   21.0   22.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   22.1   20.5   19.0   -1.3   34.7   38.0   20.4   21.6   22.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   22.1   20.6   19.3   -1.1   36.8   39.8   20.3   21.6   22.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    51    49     0   100   12.4   12.9   17.6   -1.2   35.2   38.3   12.7   14.4   15.9   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100   20.0   20.6   17.9   -1.1   37.0   39.9   20.2   21.7   23.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100   21.4   19.7   16.7   -1.0   37.4   40.4   19.2   20.7   22.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   21.7   20.2   18.9   -1.3   34.8   38.1   20.0   21.2   22.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    52    48     0   100    9.5   10.4   17.0   -0.8   40.2   43.2    9.8   11.1   12.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100   22.2   20.5   18.3   -1.1   38.0   40.8   20.1   21.5   22.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    52    48     0   100   19.6   20.4   17.5   -0.9   39.9   42.7   19.8   21.2   22.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    75    25   100   22.2   20.6   17.7   -1.0   37.9   40.9   20.2   21.6   22.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100   19.4   20.0   17.6   -1.0   37.5   40.9   19.6   21.1   22.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    75    25   100   22.6   20.8   17.2   -1.3   35.2   38.8   20.6   22.0   23.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   22.6   21.6   18.5   -0.7   42.4   44.7   20.9   22.1   23.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    54    46     0   100   19.5   19.9   17.8   -1.3   33.4   36.8   19.9   21.3   22.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100   20.8   21.3   17.5   -1.2   36.3   39.5   21.0   22.4   23.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   21.3   19.9   18.7   -1.2   35.6   38.9   19.7   20.9   21.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100   19.3   20.3   17.2   -0.6   42.9   45.3   19.5   20.8   22.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   21.9   20.3   19.2   -1.2   35.9   39.0   20.1   21.4   22.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100   17.8   16.8   15.5   -0.4   44.6   47.1   15.8   17.2   18.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    51    49     0   100   20.0   20.5   18.8   -1.1   37.1   40.0   20.2   21.5   22.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   22.2   20.8   19.0   -1.0   37.7   40.7   20.5   21.7   22.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   22.1   20.8   19.2   -1.0   38.3   41.1   20.4   21.6   22.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    52    48     0   100   20.1   21.0   18.4   -0.7   41.4   43.9   20.3   21.7   22.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100   21.6   20.0   17.8   -1.1   36.9   39.8   19.7   21.0   22.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   22.3   20.4   17.1   -1.3   34.5   38.3   20.3   21.7   23.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100   21.8   20.3   18.5   -1.1   36.9   39.9   19.9   21.3   22.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100   19.5   19.9   17.8   -1.3   34.2   37.4   19.8   21.4   22.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   15.0   16.1   16.5   -0.5   44.4   46.7   15.2   16.5   17.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   21.8   20.2   19.1   -1.3   34.7   38.0   20.1   21.3   22.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------