***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.09.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.10.2016.-09.10.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100    9.5    9.0   11.4   -0.1   48.6   49.3    8.1    9.1   10.1   26   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100    9.5    9.2   11.1    0.1   51.5   51.8    8.0    9.1   10.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   11.6   11.3   11.5    0.0   50.3   50.8   10.3   11.3   12.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    7.1    6.6    8.6    0.0   49.7   50.5    5.4    6.6    7.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100    9.0    8.4    9.0   -0.1   48.9   49.8    7.3    8.5    9.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100    8.1    7.7    7.4    0.1   51.2   51.7    6.4    7.6    8.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100    9.5    9.2   11.2    0.0   50.7   51.1    8.3    9.2   10.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100    4.0    3.7    7.4    0.1   51.0   51.7    2.7    3.6    4.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   10.0    9.5    9.3   -0.1   49.2   50.1    8.5    9.6   10.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100    9.4    9.1    8.1    0.0   50.7   51.3    8.0    9.1   10.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100    9.0    8.5    8.5    0.0   49.8   50.6    7.4    8.5    9.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100    7.8    7.4    7.9    0.0   49.3   50.4    6.4    7.4    8.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100    8.4    7.7    7.3   -0.2   47.1   48.8    6.8    7.9    9.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100    9.8    9.5    9.6    0.2   52.7   53.1    8.6    9.4   10.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100    9.9    9.5    9.7    0.1   51.1   51.6    8.4    9.5   10.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100    9.9    9.4    7.9   -0.1   48.9   50.0    8.3    9.4   10.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    9.7    9.5   10.9    0.1   52.2   52.4    8.5    9.3   10.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100    8.2    7.9    7.7    0.1   51.8   52.3    6.8    7.8    8.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    79    21   100    9.5    9.3   11.2    0.1   51.9   52.2    8.3    9.2   10.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    80    20   100    4.8    4.6    5.9    0.2   52.5   52.8    3.3    4.4    5.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100    9.3    8.8   10.7   -0.1   48.8   49.6    7.8    8.9    9.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100    8.8    8.5   10.8    0.2   52.6   52.8    7.5    8.4    9.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100    9.2    8.9   11.2    0.2   52.5   52.6    7.8    8.8    9.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100    9.0    8.7    9.3    0.1   51.8   52.3    7.8    8.6    9.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   10.0    9.5   10.1   -0.1   48.6   49.4    8.4    9.6   10.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100    8.7    8.1    7.2   -0.2   47.2   49.0    7.2    8.3    9.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100   10.3    9.7   10.8   -0.1   49.1   49.8    8.5    9.8   11.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100    8.3    7.8    8.8    0.0   50.4   51.0    6.7    7.8    8.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    81    19   100    7.5    7.4    7.2    0.2   52.9   53.1    6.3    7.2    8.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100    9.9    9.6   11.3    0.0   50.4   50.8    8.5    9.5   10.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------