***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 07.09.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.09.2017.-08.10.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    83    17   100   42.9   44.9   43.0   97.8   58.4   52.3   24.3   37.3   53.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100   41.1   43.3   43.6  101.1   59.8   53.1   23.8   35.4   49.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    84    16   100   45.7   48.6   43.0   99.3   59.0   53.2   28.0   40.7   55.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   62.2   53.9   39.3   85.6   52.1   46.3   33.5   51.6   73.6   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    81    19   100   45.7   43.9   39.3   91.3   55.0   48.7   25.9   39.4   55.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100   45.2   33.2   36.7   75.3   44.6   40.8   25.1   37.4   52.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100   42.5   44.6   43.4  100.8   59.8   53.0   23.6   35.9   51.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    75    25   100   70.1   61.0   45.0   87.8   51.0   45.9   42.4   59.7   79.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   46.1   43.9   40.7   92.0   54.9   48.3   28.0   40.0   54.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   53.5   47.8   45.5   89.3   52.1   46.4   33.1   46.1   61.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   45.6   40.4   38.2   86.5   51.9   46.3   26.7   39.0   53.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   44.1   37.8   37.9   86.6   51.6   46.2   24.2   36.5   51.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100   46.1   38.6   38.0   83.0   49.9   45.0   26.0   38.9   54.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    80    20   100   63.5   69.0   58.3  105.1   61.3   54.9   37.1   54.9   75.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100   25.0   39.4   35.7   82.8   52.2   45.3   24.3   37.6   53.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   40.0   34.1   36.5   82.8   50.3   45.3   22.6   33.8   47.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   38.9   42.2   48.0  104.8   61.9   53.4   22.3   33.1   46.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   57.7   52.8   51.9   93.4   53.6   48.4   32.6   48.8   68.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    80    20   100   42.5   45.2   44.5  102.3   60.4   54.0   25.9   37.1   50.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   64.8   60.8   59.2   94.4   54.1   49.4   40.3   56.8   75.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100   50.3   49.5   40.9   94.1   56.2   49.7   29.2   43.3   60.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   42.3   46.0   50.5  105.7   62.2   53.6   22.9   35.1   50.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100   44.1   49.2   47.4  106.5   62.6   56.5   26.4   38.5   52.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    81    19   100   54.7   54.7   49.5   97.5   56.9   51.4   32.7   47.7   65.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    82    18   100   51.3   53.3   46.3   97.4   58.4   52.3   32.2   45.6   61.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    52    48     0   100   25.2   38.9   37.7   85.2   51.1   46.3   24.9   37.8   53.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    83    17   100   46.7   49.1   46.1   98.0   58.6   52.9   26.8   40.7   57.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100   46.0   38.6   35.5   81.1   50.5   44.6   25.5   38.2   53.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   82.7   78.3   56.1   95.5   54.8   49.7   49.4   71.6   97.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100   38.2   40.1   42.5   99.1   59.0   53.0   22.3   33.3   46.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------