***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.09.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 28.09.2015.-04.10.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   10.2   10.5   12.5    0.9   61.9   58.7    8.6    9.7   10.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   10.2   10.5   12.3    0.9   61.9   58.9    8.3    9.6   10.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   12.3   12.6   12.3    0.8   61.4   58.3   10.8   11.8   12.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    7.8    7.9    9.8    0.5   58.1   55.9    6.1    7.3    8.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100    9.2    9.4    9.6    0.6   58.7   56.6    7.6    8.8    9.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100    8.5    8.3    7.8    0.3   55.3   54.9    6.9    8.0    9.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   10.3   10.6   12.2    0.8   61.3   58.5    8.7    9.8   10.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    37    63   100    4.7    4.3    8.3    0.8   62.1   59.9    2.7    3.6    4.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   10.4   10.6   10.2    0.7   60.3   57.9    8.9   10.0   11.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   10.0   10.2    8.8    0.7   60.9   58.8    8.5    9.5   10.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100    9.6    9.8    9.3    0.6   59.3   57.2    8.1    9.2   10.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    8.4    8.6    9.1    0.7   60.3   58.3    6.9    8.0    9.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    9.1    8.9    8.3    0.3   54.5   54.2    7.6    8.6    9.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    9.1   10.7   10.2    0.6   59.8   57.9    9.2   10.2   11.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   10.4   10.5   10.5    0.6   59.4   56.7    8.9    9.9   10.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   10.4   10.3    8.9    0.4   56.7   55.3    8.9    9.9   10.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   10.3   10.5   11.7    0.7   59.8   57.8    8.8    9.9   10.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100    8.9    9.1    8.3    0.7   61.0   59.2    7.4    8.4    9.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   10.2   10.6   12.3    0.9   62.5   59.3    8.6    9.8   10.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    5.0    5.2    6.6    0.7   59.8   59.0    3.6    4.6    5.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100    9.9   10.1   11.5    0.7   60.6   57.9    8.3    9.4   10.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    78    22   100    9.3    9.5   11.7    0.7   60.2   58.1    7.9    8.9    9.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    51    49     0   100    8.1   10.1   11.9    0.9   63.0   59.7    8.2    9.3   10.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100    8.3   10.1   10.2    0.7   61.1   58.7    8.5    9.5   10.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   10.2   10.5   10.9    0.7   60.4   57.8    8.5    9.8   11.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    9.1    9.0    8.7    0.4   55.5   54.7    7.8    8.7    9.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100   10.5   11.0   11.7    0.9   62.0   58.9    8.5   10.0   11.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100    8.8    8.9   10.0    0.5   58.5   56.0    7.3    8.4    9.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100    7.9    8.2    7.7    0.7   60.9   59.6    6.4    7.5    8.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   10.7   11.0   12.5    0.9   62.0   58.9    8.9   10.1   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------