***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 31.08.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.09.2017.-24.09.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100    9.6   10.6   13.5   -0.3   45.0   46.0    9.8   10.8   11.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    75    25   100   11.3   10.6   13.2   -0.2   46.0   47.1    9.8   10.8   11.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   13.5   13.0   13.8    0.0   49.5   49.3   12.1   13.1   14.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    57    43     0   100    7.3    8.7   11.2    0.1   51.8   51.4    7.6    8.6    9.5   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    8.5   10.0   11.3    0.1   51.8   51.2    8.9    9.9   10.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100    8.0    9.3    9.6    0.1   53.1   52.8    8.2    9.1   10.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   11.5   10.9   13.4   -0.2   45.9   47.2   10.1   11.1   12.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    3.8    5.2    9.5    0.1   52.6   52.5    4.0    5.0    6.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    57    43     0   100    9.7   11.1   11.6    0.1   52.9   52.0   10.0   10.9   11.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    55    45     0   100    9.6   10.8   10.2    0.1   52.4   52.1    9.8   10.7   11.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    54    46     0   100    9.1   10.4   10.8    0.2   54.0   52.9    9.3   10.2   11.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    55    45     0   100    8.1    9.5   10.1    0.2   54.9   53.9    8.3    9.3   10.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    8.5    9.9    9.6    0.1   52.4   52.5    8.8    9.8   10.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    54    46     0   100   10.3   11.2   11.4   -0.1   48.7   49.9   10.5   11.3   12.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    56    44     0   100   10.3   11.6   12.4    0.3   55.9   54.6   10.6   11.3   12.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    53    47     0   100   10.0   11.3   10.3    0.2   54.7   53.6   10.2   11.1   11.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   11.5   11.0   13.0   -0.2   46.5   47.6   10.2   11.2   12.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    8.5    9.9    9.4    0.2   53.6   53.5    8.6    9.7   10.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   11.4   10.9   13.3   -0.2   47.2   48.0   10.1   11.0   11.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    58    42     0   100    4.7    5.9    7.6    0.0   50.4   51.8    5.0    5.9    6.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    55    45     0   100    9.3   10.5   12.8    0.0   49.4   49.2    9.6   10.6   11.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   10.5    9.9   12.9   -0.2   46.0   47.6    9.3   10.2   11.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   11.0   10.6   13.3    0.0   49.8   50.1    9.5   10.6   11.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100    9.7   10.9   11.4    0.2   53.7   53.1    9.8   10.7   11.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100   10.0   10.9   12.1   -0.3   44.5   45.8   10.2   11.2   12.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    56    44     0   100    8.8   10.1    9.4    0.1   51.2   51.9    9.1   10.0   10.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    53    47     0   100    9.7   10.9   12.8   -0.3   44.6   46.0   10.0   11.3   12.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    8.4    9.8   11.5    0.3   55.1   53.7    8.6    9.5   10.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100    7.6    8.9    8.9    0.1   51.7   52.4    7.8    8.8    9.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    52    48     0   100    9.9   10.9   13.5   -0.2   45.9   46.9   10.1   11.2   12.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------