***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.08.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.09.2020.-13.09.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    52    48     0   100    3.1    8.7    9.4   86.7   60.8   46.9    2.5    5.6   10.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    53    47     0   100    3.4    9.8    9.8   94.1   63.4   49.8    3.0    6.2   10.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00    55    45     0   100    3.1    7.8    8.8   77.5   56.9   44.1    2.7    6.0   11.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100    3.8   10.5    9.6   80.3   59.3   44.3    3.2    7.4   13.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    59    41     0   100    2.7    6.7    8.1   71.0   55.3   41.8    2.5    5.5   10.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    57    43     0   100    2.7    5.4    8.6   63.1   50.3   37.7    2.7    5.2    9.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    53    47     0   100    3.3   11.1    9.5   97.5   64.3   49.2    2.6    6.2   11.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    58    42     0   100    4.7    9.4    8.3   62.8   49.9   37.0    4.4    9.4   17.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100    2.5    6.0    8.2   70.8   55.0   43.9    2.3    4.9    8.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    56    44     0   100    3.5    6.6    8.5   63.9   51.0   40.3    3.3    6.4   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    2.7    5.4    7.5   64.7   51.1   39.7    2.4    5.2    9.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    60    40     0   100    3.2    6.2    7.0   62.2   49.9   36.3    3.2    6.2   10.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    55    45     0   100    2.5    4.8    6.9   59.2   50.2   38.8    2.3    4.7    8.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    57    43     0   100    3.8   10.7   11.0   78.8   57.3   43.2    3.3    7.8   15.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    63    37     0   100    1.6    4.5    7.1   64.7   54.4   37.7    1.5    3.7    7.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    56    44     0   100    2.6    5.6    7.5   65.4   52.2   39.4    2.3    5.1    9.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01    52    48     0   100    3.5   12.1   10.5   99.4   65.6   50.9    2.8    6.5   12.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    3.6    7.2   10.0   70.1   52.8   41.2    3.0    6.4   11.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    52    48     0   100    4.0   11.2    9.8   89.5   61.7   48.2    3.4    7.2   12.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    54    46     0   100    5.4   11.6   11.8   74.6   54.4   40.8    4.9    9.8   17.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    53    47     0   100    3.4    7.9    8.8   76.6   57.7   44.8    3.1    6.0   10.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    55    45     0   100    4.1   14.2   12.8  107.3   67.5   50.8    3.6    7.7   13.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    75    25   100    8.3    8.0    9.4   81.9   59.0   45.5    2.5    5.6   10.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    2.9    6.9    9.3   71.1   53.8   41.3    2.4    5.9   11.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    58    42     0   100    3.0    8.2    9.6   77.3   57.8   43.9    2.7    6.1   11.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    63    37     0   100    2.1    4.7    7.7   68.3   52.1   36.7    2.2    4.4    7.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    3.5    8.8    9.6   81.1   58.7   45.1    3.2    6.5   11.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    63    37     0   100    1.9    5.2    8.0   70.4   56.3   39.3    1.9    4.0    7.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    6.8   13.3   11.3   73.6   53.4   40.8    5.9   11.9   20.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    56    44     0   100    3.4    9.2    8.9   85.2   60.2   46.6    3.1    6.4   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------