***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 20.08.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.09.2020.-13.09.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    64    36     0   100    2.5   12.4   10.1  116.0   70.1   43.6    2.5    5.6   10.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    62    38     0   100    3.0   12.0    9.9  110.0   68.9   47.2    3.0    6.2   10.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00    58    42     0   100    2.9   13.7   10.8  123.2   71.8   47.2    2.7    6.0   11.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    65    35     0   100    3.2   12.9    9.9   95.1   64.7   40.1    3.2    7.4   13.7   30   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    66    34     0   100    2.3   10.8   10.4  108.7   68.0   44.8    2.5    5.5   10.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    64    36     0   100    2.4    8.7   11.9   96.9   64.7   41.2    2.7    5.2    9.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    61    39     0   100    2.9   12.8    9.8  107.5   68.1   46.3    2.6    6.2   11.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    59    41     0   100    4.6   15.5   11.0   95.9   63.4   45.2    4.4    9.4   17.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    66    34     0   100    2.1    9.6   10.7  110.3   68.2   45.1    2.3    4.9    8.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    60    40     0   100    3.3   10.5   12.0  103.2   65.8   46.4    3.3    6.4   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    63    37     0   100    2.3    9.9    9.8  104.6   66.7   44.8    2.4    5.2    9.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    62    38     0   100    3.1    9.8    9.2   98.1   64.7   44.3    3.2    6.2   10.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    64    36     0   100    2.2    8.1    9.8   98.3   65.1   41.7    2.3    4.7    8.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    4.1   17.0   14.2  111.9   68.8   50.0    3.3    7.8   15.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    73    27     0   100    1.3    6.8    9.0   92.0   64.6   35.8    1.5    3.7    7.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    64    36     0   100    2.3    9.5    9.7   99.2   65.4   41.4    2.3    5.1    9.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01    61    39     0   100    3.0   13.0   10.0  104.5   67.6   46.4    2.8    6.5   12.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    3.6   11.5   13.9  105.5   66.3   49.6    3.0    6.4   11.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    61    39     0   100    3.4   15.3   10.4  117.2   70.6   48.1    3.4    7.2   12.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    53    47     0   100    5.5   16.2   13.8   99.3   64.0   49.5    4.9    9.8   17.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    58    42     0   100    3.1   11.5   10.1  113.3   69.1   45.5    3.1    6.0   10.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    62    38     0   100    3.6   14.6   11.0  105.5   68.2   46.7    3.6    7.7   13.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    59    41     0   100    2.7   13.5   11.4  128.7   73.0   49.1    2.5    5.6   10.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    2.9   12.8   12.8  112.0   68.5   49.5    2.4    5.9   11.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    60    40     0   100    2.9   12.4   10.6  110.9   68.8   45.6    2.7    6.1   11.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    66    34     0   100    2.0    7.2    8.5   94.5   64.7   40.8    2.2    4.4    7.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    63    37     0   100    3.1   12.7   10.8  113.1   69.5   45.3    3.2    6.5   11.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    69    31     0   100    1.7    7.0    9.7   93.7   64.5   38.0    1.9    4.0    7.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100    6.7   19.6   14.3  102.0   64.9   49.5    5.9   11.9   20.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    63    37     0   100    3.0   13.2   10.4  117.0   70.6   46.5    3.1    6.4   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------