***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.08.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.08.2016.-28.08.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    52    48     0   100   26.9   27.4   27.5   -1.0   36.4   39.2   27.1   28.4   29.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    51    49     0   100   26.4   26.7   27.5   -1.2   34.5   37.6   26.6   27.9   29.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00    53    47     0   100   26.4   27.1   27.9   -0.9   38.3   40.6   26.7   28.1   29.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    82    18   100   22.1   21.8   26.6    0.1   51.6   51.8   20.4   21.7   22.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   29.6   28.8   27.0   -0.2   46.9   47.7   27.6   29.0   30.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   28.2   28.3   25.2    0.4   56.1   55.0   26.3   27.8   29.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    55    45     0   100   25.9   26.3   27.5   -1.2   34.3   37.4   26.2   27.5   28.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   17.6   17.1   25.2    0.0   50.0   50.5   15.7   17.1   18.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   28.9   28.1   27.4   -0.2   47.3   47.9   26.9   28.3   29.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   28.9   28.2   25.8   -0.1   48.3   48.9   27.0   28.3   29.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   29.2   28.7   27.3    0.0   50.6   50.8   27.3   28.7   30.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   28.5   28.2   26.6    0.2   52.2   52.3   26.6   28.0   29.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100   29.7   29.4   26.7    0.3   53.5   53.2   27.7   29.1   30.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100   26.4   27.3   26.2   -0.6   42.2   43.7   26.6   27.9   29.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    80    20   100   29.5   29.3   28.7    0.3   53.8   53.6   27.6   29.0   30.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100   30.2   30.1   27.1    0.3   53.8   53.5   28.3   29.7   31.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   27.7   26.4   27.4   -0.8   39.7   42.1   25.8   27.2   28.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   27.8   27.0   24.7   -0.3   46.6   47.5   25.9   27.3   28.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   28.2   26.7   27.8   -0.9   38.6   40.9   26.2   27.6   28.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100   24.0   23.4   22.9    0.0   49.6   50.3   22.0   23.4   24.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    54    46     0   100   26.6   27.6   27.8   -0.7   40.9   42.7   26.9   28.3   29.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   28.2   27.2   27.5   -0.5   43.2   44.8   26.4   27.7   28.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100   28.3   27.5   28.2   -0.3   46.6   47.2   26.4   27.7   29.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    75    25   100   28.3   27.2   26.5   -0.5   43.8   45.0   26.3   27.7   29.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100   26.7   27.6   26.6   -0.7   40.4   42.4   27.0   28.4   29.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   29.2   29.0   26.3    0.3   53.6   53.5   27.3   28.7   30.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    52    48     0   100   26.3   27.0   27.0   -0.8   39.0   41.3   26.5   27.9   29.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100   29.6   29.5   27.7    0.3   54.8   54.5   27.8   29.1   30.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   21.3   22.6   23.9   -0.3   46.3   47.4   21.5   22.9   24.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    57    43     0   100   26.0   26.4   27.5   -1.3   33.5   36.7   26.4   27.8   29.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------